Concept explainers
Special Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the
An Inverted Logistic Curve When the parameter
a. Make a graph of
b. What is the limiting value of
c. Estimate when the fraction of deaths due to tuberculosis was decreasing most rapidly. Give your answer accurate to the nearest decade (e.g.,
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FUNCTIONS AND CHANGE COMBO
- Special Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. An Epidemic In a city of half a million, there are initially 800 cases of a particularly virulent strain of flu. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta claims that the cumulative number of infections with this flu strain will increase by 40 per week if there are no limiting factors. Make a logistic model of the potential cumulative number of cases of flu as a function of weeks from initial outbreak, and determine how long it will be before 100, 000 people are infected.arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Cell phones The following table shows the number, in millions, of cell phone subscribers in the United States at the end of the given year. Year Subscribersmillions 2010 296.3 2011 316.0 2012 326.5 2013 335.6 2014 355.4 a.Plot the data points. b.Use exponential regression to construct an exponential model for the subscriber data. c.Add the graph of the exponential model to the plot in part a. d.What was the yearly percentage growth rate from the end of 2010 through the end of 2014 for cell phone subscribership? e.In 2014, an executive had a plan that could make money for the company, provided that there would be at least 380million cell phone subscribers by the end of 2016. Solely on the basis of an exponential model for the data in the table, would it be reasonable for the executive to implement the plan?arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. Natural Gas Production The following table shows natural gas production N in trillions of cubic feet in the United states t years after 1940. t=yearssince1940 N=cubicft.intrilliions 0 3.75 10 8.48 20 15.09 30 23.79 40 21.87 50 21.52 60 24.15 a. Make a logistic model for N as a function of t. b. Graph the data and the logistic model. c. Which years production was farthest from the prediction of the logistic model? d. What does the logistic model predict for the amount of natural gas that will be produced in the long run? Note: In other contexts, this would be known as the carrying capacity..arrow_forward
- Special Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Household IncomeThe following table shows the median income, in thousands of dollars, of American families for 2003 through 2008. Year Incomethousands of dollars 2003 52.68 2004 54.06 2005 56.19 2006 58.41 2007 61.36 2008 61.52 a.Plot the data. b.Use exponential regression to construct an exponential model for the income data. c.What was the yearly percentage growth rate in median family income during this period? d.From 2003 through 2008, inflation was about 3 per year. Did median family income keep pace with inflation during this period?arrow_forwardThe population of a culture of bacteria is modeled by the logistic equation P(t)=14,2501+29e0.62t where t is inarrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. African Bees There are 3600 commercial bee hives in a region threatened by African bees. Today African bees have taken over 50 hives. Experience in other areas shows that, in the absence of limiting factors, the African bees will increase the number of hives they take over by 30 each year. Make a logistic model that shows the number of hives taken over by African bees after t years, and determine how long it will be before 1800 hives are affected.arrow_forward
- Special Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. National Health Care SpendingThe following table shows national health care costs, measured in billions of dollars. Date 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Costs, in billions 75 253 714 1353 2570 a.Plot the data. b.Find an exponential function that approximates the data for health care costs. c.By what percentage per year were national health care costs increasing during the period from 1970 through 2010? d.Use functional notation to express how much money was spent on health care in the year 2011, and then estimate that value.arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimals places unless otherwise indicated. Ebola Figure 5.14 shows a plot of the total number E of Ebola cases in West Africa reported to the centers for Diseases control and Prevention from April 1, 2014, through December 1, 2015. A logistic fit for these data is given by, E=27,841.421+134.65e0.646t. Where t is the time in months since April 1, 2014. In figure 5.15, we have added the graph of this model. a.Does Figure 5.14 show a continuing epidemic or a health crisis that is under control by December 2015? b.According to the model, what was the total number of cases when the disease was spreading at the fastest rate? Round your answer to the nearest whole number. c.Use the crossing- graphs method to determine when the disease was growing at the fastest rate. Round your answer, in months, to one decimal place.arrow_forwardCable TV The following table shows the number C. in millions, of basic subscribers to cable TV in the indicated year These data are from the Statistical Abstract of the United States. Year 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 C 9.8 17.5 35.4 50.5 60.6 60.6 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for these data. b. By what annual percentage would you expect the number of cable subscribers to grow in the absence of limiting factors? c. The estimated number of subscribers in 2005 was 65.3million. What light does this shed on the model you found in part a?arrow_forward
- Special Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. Fluorescent Bulbs Compact fluorescent light bulbs save energy when compared with traditional incandescent bulbs. Our green energy campaign includes efforts to get local residents to exchange their incandescent bulbs fur fluorescent bulbs. Initially 200 households make the change. Market studies suggest that, in the absence of limiting factors, we could increase that number by 25 each month. In our target area, there are 250,000 households, which we take as the limiting value. Make a logistic model that gives the number of households converting to fluorescent bulbs after t months.arrow_forwardA regression was run to determine whether there is arelationship between the diameter of a tree (x, in inches) and the tree’s age (y, in years). Theresults of the regression are given below. Use this topredict the age of a tree with diameter 10 inches. y=ax+ba=6.301b=1.044r=0.970arrow_forwardWorld Population The following table shows world population N, in billions, in the given year. Year 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 N 2.56 3.04 3.71 4.45 5.29 6.09 6.85 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for world population. b. What r value do these data yield for humans on planet Earth? c. According to the logistic model using these data, what is the carrying capacity of planet Earth for humans? d. According to this model, when will world population reach 90 of carrying capacity? Round to the nearest year. Note: This represents a rather naive analysis of world population.arrow_forward
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