Concept explainers
Question
•• 4.48 Dave Fletcher, the general manager of North Carolina Engineering Corporation (NCEC), thinks that his firm’s engineering services contracted to highway construction firms are directly related to the volume of highway construction business contracted with companies in his geographic area. He wonders if this is really so, and if it is, can this information help him plan his operations better by
- a. Using this data, develop a regression equation for predicting the level of demand of NCEC’s services.
- b. Determine the coefficient of correlation and the standard error of the estimate.
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Chapter 4 Solutions
Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (12th Edition)
- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?arrow_forwardScenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.arrow_forwardScenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?arrow_forward
- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?arrow_forwardScenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?arrow_forwardQUESTION 5:What is demand forecasting and why it’s vital to the company’s operations?arrow_forward
- Unit 4 Exercises Question 4.1 Use exponential smoothing with trend adjustment to forecast demand for period 11. Let a = 0.5, B = 0.3, and let the initial trend value be 12 and the initial forecast be 200. 田 Actual Period Demand 1 200 2 212 3 214 4 222 236 221 7 240 8 244 9 250 10 266 Question 4 2arrow_forward•• 4.31 North Carolina, for the past 24 weeks are shown in the following table: Emergency calls to the 911 system of Durham, WEEK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 CALLS 50 35 25 40 45 35 20 30 35 20 15 40 WEEK 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 CALLS 55 35 25 55 55 40 35 60 75 50 40 65 a) Compute the exponentially smoothed forecast of calls for each week. Assume an initial forecast of 50 calls in the first week, and use a = .2. What is the forecast for week 25? b) Reforecast each period using a = .6. c) Actual calls during week 25 were 85. Which smoothing con- stant provides a superior forecast? Explain and justify the measure of error you used. Pxarrow_forwardTable 5.1: The demand forecast developed for the year ended 31 December 2022. Month Production days Demand forecast Jan 16 150 Feb 16 150 Mar 23 250 Apr 21 250 May 22 400 Jun 22 500 Jul 21 600 Aug 20 750 Sep 20 450 Oct 20 250 Nov 16 150 Dec 16 150 1. Compute and tabulate the daily demand for each month in the table below (round off to the nearest whole number). 2. Assuming that MPQ Limited had adopted a level strategy for the year ended 31 December 2022, compute the average daily demand for the year (round off to the nearest whole number).arrow_forward
- • 4.5 The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the antici- pated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: YEAR MILEAGE 1 3,000 2 4,000 3 3,400 4 3,800 5 3,700 a) Forecast the mileage for next year (6th year) using a 2-year moving average. b) Find the MAD based on the 2-year moving average. (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) Use a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of .4 and .6 to forecast next year's mileage. (The weight of .6 is for the most recent year.) What MAD results from using this approach to forecasting? (Hint.: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) d) Compute the forecast for year 6 using exponential smoothing, an initial forecast for year l of 3,000 miles, and a = .5.arrow_forwardMay 77.000 Problem 4 (Regression Analysis, Service Company) Bobby Gonzales owns a catering company that prepares banquets and parties for both individual and business functions throughout the year. Gonzales business is seasonal, with a heavy schedule during the summer months and the year-end holidays and a light schedule at other times. During peak periods there are extra costs. One of the major events Gonzales' customers request is a cocktail party. He offers a standard cocktail party and has developed the following cost structure on a per person basis. Food and bevernges Labor (0.5 hour x PIO per hour) Overhead (0.5 hour x P14 per hour) Total costs per person PI5.00 5.00 7.00 P27.00 Gonzales is quite certain about his estimates of the food, beverages, and labor costs but is not as comfortable with the overhead estimate. This estimate was based on the actual data for the past 12 months presented below. These data indicate that overhead costs vary with the direct labor- hours used. The…arrow_forwardQuestion 3: Jane is trying to forecast demand for her store, using moving average with n=2, Fill in the missing cells with correct values and find average error for first quarter and second quarter of year 2000 E Enroll- Year Quarter ment Forecast Error Abs Error 1997 313 3. 2 285 4 3 312 5. 4 339 6. 1998 1 359 7 320 356 385 6. 10 1999 396 367 11 397 12 423 13 14 2000 1 15 2000 3412M4arrow_forward
- Purchasing and Supply Chain ManagementOperations ManagementISBN:9781285869681Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. PattersonPublisher:Cengage Learning