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OHaganBooks.com has two main competitors—JungleBooks.com and FarmerBooks.com—and no other competitors of any significance on the horizon. Exercises 39–42 are based on the following table, which shows the movement of customers during July.42 (Thus, for instance, the first row tells us that 80% of OHaganBooks.com’s customers remained loyal, 10% of them went to JungleBooks.com, and the remaining 10% went to FarmerBooks.com.)
At the beginning of July, OHaganBooks.com had an estimated 2,000 customers, while its two competitors had 4,000 each.
Competition Name one or more important factors that the model we have used does not take into account.
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Chapter 4 Solutions
Finite Mathematics
- Grear Tire Company has produced a new tire with an estimated mean lifetime mileage of 34,500 miles. Management also believes that the standard deviation is 4,500 miles and that tire mileage is normally distributed. To promote the new tire, Grear has offered to refund a portion of the purchase price if the tire fails to reach 30,000 miles before the tire needs to be replaced. Specifically, for tires with a lifetime below 30,000 miles, Grear will refund a customer $1 per 100 miles short of 30,000. Construct a simulation model to answer the following questions. (Use at least 1,000 trials.) (a) For each tire sold, what is the average cost of the promotion (in $)? (Round your answer to two decimal places.) (b) What is the probability that Grear will refund more than $25 for a tire? (Round your answer to three decimal places.)arrow_forwardMajor League Baseball's World Series is a maximum of seven games, with the winner being the first team to win four games. Assume that the Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins are playing in the World Series and that the first two games are to be played in Atlanta, the next three games at the Twins' ballpark, and the last two games, if necessary, back in Atlanta. Taking into account the projected starting pitchers for each game and the home field advantage, suppose the probabilities of Atlanta winning each game are as follows. Game 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Probability of Win 0.61 0.54 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.56 0.49 Construct a simulation model in which whether Atlanta wins or loses each game is a random variable. Use the model to answer the following questions. (Use at least 1,000 trials.) (a) What is the average number of games played regardless of winner? (Round your answer to one decimal place.) games (b) What is the probability that the Atlanta Braves win the World Series? (Round your answer to…arrow_forward1 Brinkley 2 A B с D E F G H I J 3 Parameters 4 Selling Price 5 Procurement Cost 6 Labor Cost 7 Transportation Cost 8 9 Procurement Cost 10 Lower End of Interval Upper End of Interval Cost Probability 11 $10.00 12 $11.00 0.25 0.45 13 $12.00 0.3 14 15 Labor Cost 16 Lower End of Interval Upper End of Interval Cost Probability 17 $20.00 0.1 18 $22.00 0.25 19 $24.00 0.35 20 $25.00 0.3 21 22 Transportation Cost 23 Lower End of Interval Upper End of Interval Cost Probability 24 25 $3.00 $5.00 0.75 0.25 26 27 Model 28 Profit Per Unit 29 30 Simulation Trial Procurement Cost Labor Cost Transportation Cost Profit Per Unit Summary Statistics 31 1 Mean Profit Per Unit #DIV/0! 32 2 P(Profit <$5) #DIV/0! 83 3 34 4 35 5 36 6 37 7 38 8 39 9 40 10arrow_forward
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