Operations Management
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781259667473
Author: William J Stevenson
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Textbook Question
Chapter 3, Problem 18P
New car sales for a dealer in Cook County, Illinois, for the past year are shown in the following table, along with monthly indexes (seasonal relatives), which are supplied to the dealer by the regional distributor.
a. Plot the data Dow there seem to be a trend?
b. Deseasonalize car sales.
c. Plot ihe deteasorulized data on the same graph as the original data Comment on the two graphs
d. Assuming no proactive approach on the part of management, discuss (no calculations necessary how you wiould
e. What action might management consider based on your findings m part b?
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Assume that the data in columns A and B report the new constructions of residential homes, per month, in thousands, from 2015 to 2020 in the state of Oregon.
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4, The accompanying dataset provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days. Complete parts a through c.
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock B.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date
Forecast B
09/03/2010
09/07/2010
enter your response here
09/08/2010
enter your response here
09/09/2010
enter your response here
09/10/2010
enter your response here
09/13/2010
enter your response here
09/14/2010
enter your response here
09/15/2010
enter your response here
09/16/2010
enter your response here
09/17/2010
enter your response here
09/20/2010
enter your response here
09/21/2010
enter your response here
Date
A
B
C
D
Stock Exchange
09/03/2010
127.07
18.54
20.84
15.44
10,536.56
09/07/2010
124.84
18.21
20.45
15.55
10,245.77
09/08/2010
125.67
17.77
20.83
15.72…
Sales for the past five months have been 15, 18, 12, 17, 13.
Use the following methods to obtain a forecast of sales for the next month.
a. The last-value method
b. The averaging method
c. The moving-average method with three months.
Chapter 3 Solutions
Operations Management
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Ch. 3 - What advantages as a forecasting tool does...Ch. 3 - How does the number of periods in a moving average...Ch. 3 - What factors enter into the choice of a value for...Ch. 3 - Prob. 11DRQCh. 3 - Explain how using a centered moving average with a...Ch. 3 - Contrast the terms sales and demand.Ch. 3 - Contrast the reactive and proactive approaches to...Ch. 3 - Explain how flexibility in production systems...Ch. 3 - How is forecasting in the context of a supply...Ch. 3 - Which type of forecasting approach, qualitative or...Ch. 3 - Prob. 18DRQCh. 3 - Choose the type of forecasting technique (survey,...Ch. 3 - Explain the trade-off between responsiveness and...Ch. 3 - Who needs to be involved in preparing forecasts?Ch. 3 - How has technology had an impact on forecasting?Ch. 3 - It has been said that forecasting using...Ch. 3 - What capability would an organization have to have...Ch. 3 - When a new business is started, or a patent idea...Ch. 3 - Discuss how you would manage a poor forecast.Ch. 3 - Omar has beard from some of his customers that...Ch. 3 - Give three examples of unethical conduct involving...Ch. 3 - A commercial baker, has recorded sales (in dozens)...Ch. 3 - National Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency...Ch. 3 - A dry cleaner uses exponential smoothing to...Ch. 3 - An electrical contractors records during the last...Ch. 3 - A cosmetics manufacturer s marketing department...Ch. 3 - Prob. 6PCh. 3 - Freight car loadings ova a 12-year period at a...Ch. 3 - Air travel on Mountain Airline for the past 18...Ch. 3 - a. Obtain the linear trend equation for the...Ch. 3 - After plotting demand for four periods, an...Ch. 3 - A manager of a store that sells and installs spas...Ch. 3 - The following equation summarizes the trend...Ch. 3 - Compute seasonal relatives for this data the SA...Ch. 3 - A tourist center is open on weekends (Friday,...Ch. 3 - The manager of a fashionable restaurant open...Ch. 3 - Obtain estimates of daily relatives for the number...Ch. 3 - A pharmacist has been monitoring sales of 2...Ch. 3 - New car sales for a dealer in Cook County,...Ch. 3 - The following table shows a tool and die companys...Ch. 3 - An analyst must decide between two different...Ch. 3 - Two different forecasting techniques (F1 and F2)...Ch. 3 - Two independent methods of forecasting based on...Ch. 3 - Long-Life Insurance has developed a linear model...Ch. 3 - Timely Transport provides local delivery service...Ch. 3 - The manager of a seafood restaurant was asked to...Ch. 3 - The following data were collected during a study...Ch. 3 - Lovely Lawns Inc., intends to use sales of lawn...Ch. 3 - The manager of a travel agency has been using a...Ch. 3 - Refer to the data in problem 22 a. Compute a...Ch. 3 - The classified department of a monthly magazine...Ch. 3 - A textbook publishing company has compiled data on...Ch. 3 - A manager has just receded an valuation from an...Ch. 3 - A manager uses this equation to predict demand for...Ch. 3 - A manager uses a trend equation plus quarterly...Ch. 3 - ML MANUFACTURING ML Manufacturing makes various...Ch. 3 - ML MANUFACTURING ML Manufacturing makes various...Ch. 3 - HIGHLINE FINANCIAL SERVICES, LTD. Highline...
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