Introductory Statistics
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780135188927
Author: Gould, Robert, Ryan, Colleen N. (colleen Nooter)
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 14, Problem 5SE
To determine
Complete the given table by finding the predicted heights and the residuals.
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An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
To help consumers in purchasing a laptop computer, Consumer Reports calculates an overall test score for each computer tested based upon rating factors such as ergonomics, portability, performance, display, and battery life. Higher overall scores indicate better test results. The following data show the average retail price and the overall score for ten 13-inch models (Consumer Reports website, October 25, 2012).
Brand & Model
Price ($)
Overall Score
Samsung Ultrabook NP900X3C-A01US
1250
83
Apple MacBook Air MC965LL/A
1300
83
Apple MacBook Air MD231LL/A
1200
82
HP ENVY 13-2050nr Spectre XT
950
79
Sony VAIO SVS13112FXB
800
77
Acer Aspire S5-391-9880 Ultrabook
1200
74
Apple MacBook Pro MD101LL/A
1200
74
Apple MacBook Pro MD313LL/A
1000
73
Dell Inspiron I13Z-6591SLV
700
67
Samsung NP535U3C-A01US
600
63
a. Select a scatter diagram with price as the independent variable.
b. What does the scatter diagram developed in part (a) indicate about the relationship…
To the Internal Revenue Service, the reasonableness of total itemized deductions depends on the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income. Large deductions, which include charity and medical deductions, are more reasonable for taxpayers with large adjusted gross incomes. If a taxpayer claims larger than average itemized deductions for a given level of income, the chances of an IRS audit are increased. Data (in thousands of dollars) on adjusted gross income and the average or reasonable amount of itemized deductions follow.
Adjusted Gross Income ($1000s)
Reasonable Amount ofItemized Deductions ($1000s)
22
9.6
27
9.6
32
10.1
48
11.1
65
13.5
85
17.7
120
25.5
Compute b1 and b0 (to 4 decimals).b1 b0 Complete the estimated regression equation (to 2 decimals). = + x
Predict a reasonable level of total itemized deductions for a taxpayer with an adjusted gross income of $52.5 thousand (to 2 decimals). thousand dollarsWhat is the value, in dollars, of…
Chapter 14 Solutions
Introductory Statistics
Ch. 14 - Predicting Test Scores A professor tells his class...Ch. 14 - Used-Car Values A student wishes to buy a used...Ch. 14 - Height and Age (Example 1) A doctor says he can...Ch. 14 - Units and Semesters The registrar at a small...Ch. 14 - Prob. 5SECh. 14 - Prob. 6SECh. 14 - Prob. 7SECh. 14 - Prob. 8SECh. 14 - Semesters and Credits (Example 4) Figure A shows a...Ch. 14 - Prob. 10SE
Ch. 14 - Salaries Figure A shows a scatterplot of the...Ch. 14 - Prob. 12SECh. 14 - Wages of Twins Figure A shows a scatterplot of...Ch. 14 - Simulated Data Figure A shows a scatterplot of...Ch. 14 - Prob. 15SECh. 14 - Movie Budgets Do movies with bigger budgets tend...Ch. 14 - Education of Parents (Example 7) Each of 29...Ch. 14 - Education of Parents Refer to exercise 14.17 and...Ch. 14 - Student and Parent Heights A random sample of 29...Ch. 14 - Trash The weight of trash (in pounds) produced by...Ch. 14 - Prob. 21SECh. 14 - Prob. 22SECh. 14 - Trash and Confidence Intervals The output provided...Ch. 14 - Movie Budgets In exercise 14.16 you examined the...Ch. 14 - Predicted GPA A student who has been accepted by...Ch. 14 - Used BMWs A used-car dealer is purchasing 50 used...Ch. 14 - Predicted Height (Example 9) A mother wants to...Ch. 14 - Predicted GPA A dean of students at a college...Ch. 14 - Loggers A logging company has the diameter of each...Ch. 14 - Prob. 30SECh. 14 - House Prices (Example 10) Figure A contains the...Ch. 14 - Math SAT Score and GPA Figure A shows information...Ch. 14 - Height and Weight A scatterplot of the heights and...Ch. 14 - Waist Size and Weight A scatterplot of the waist...Ch. 14 - GPA and SAT The figure shows 95#37; prediction...Ch. 14 - Shoes and Heights The scatterplot shows shoe size...Ch. 14 - Height and Weight A scatterplot of the heights and...Ch. 14 - Waist Size and Weight A scatterplot of the waist...Ch. 14 - Baseball Players Figure A shows a scatterplot with...Ch. 14 - Predicting Education Figure A shows a scatterplot...Ch. 14 - Life Expectancy and Gestation Periods for Animals...Ch. 14 - Prob. 42CRE
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- K The mean height of women in a country (ages 20-29) is 63.7 inches. A random sample of 65 women in this age group is selected. What is the probability that the mean height for the sample is greater than 64 inches? Assume σ = 2.68. The probability that the mean height for the sample is greater than 64 inches is (Round to four decimal places as needed.)arrow_forwardIn a survey of a group of men, the heights in the 20-29 age group were normally distributed, with a mean of 69.6 inches and a standard deviation of 4.0 inches. A study participant is randomly selected. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. (a) Find the probability that a study participant has a height that is less than 68 inches. The probability that the study participant selected at random is less than 68 inches tall is 0.4. (Round to four decimal places as needed.) 20 2arrow_forwardPEER REPLY 1: Choose a classmate's Main Post and review their decision making process. 1. Choose a risk level for each of the states of nature (assign a probability value to each). 2. Explain why each risk level is chosen. 3. Which alternative do you believe would be the best based on the maximum EMV? 4. Do you feel determining the expected value with perfect information (EVWPI) is worthwhile in this situation? Why or why not?arrow_forward
- Questions An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given in the following table: Development Year Accident Year 0 2018 1 2 3 4 245 267 274 289 292 2019 255 276 288 294 2020 265 283 292 2021 263 278 2022 271 It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for each year are: Accident Year Premium 2018 306 2019 312 2020 318 2021 326 2022 330 You do not need to make any allowance for inflation. 1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method. (b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method. 2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.arrow_forwardYou are provided with data that includes all 50 states of the United States. Your task is to draw a sample of: o 20 States using Random Sampling (2 points: 1 for random number generation; 1 for random sample) o 10 States using Systematic Sampling (4 points: 1 for random numbers generation; 1 for random sample different from the previous answer; 1 for correct K value calculation table; 1 for correct sample drawn by using systematic sampling) (For systematic sampling, do not use the original data directly. Instead, first randomize the data, and then use the randomized dataset to draw your sample. Furthermore, do not use the random list previously generated, instead, generate a new random sample for this part. For more details, please see the snapshot provided at the end.) Upload a Microsoft Excel file with two separate sheets. One sheet provides random sampling while the other provides systematic sampling. Excel snapshots that can help you in organizing columns are provided on the next…arrow_forwardThe population mean and standard deviation are given below. Find the required probability and determine whether the given sample mean would be considered unusual. For a sample of n = 65, find the probability of a sample mean being greater than 225 if μ = 224 and σ = 3.5. For a sample of n = 65, the probability of a sample mean being greater than 225 if μ=224 and σ = 3.5 is 0.0102 (Round to four decimal places as needed.)arrow_forward
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