Introductory Statistics
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780135188927
Author: Gould, Robert, Ryan, Colleen N. (colleen Nooter)
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 14, Problem 13SE
Wages of Twins Figure A shows a
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
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The analyst fits the model and obtains:
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Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
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R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
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a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
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Chapter 14 Solutions
Introductory Statistics
Ch. 14 - Predicting Test Scores A professor tells his class...Ch. 14 - Used-Car Values A student wishes to buy a used...Ch. 14 - Height and Age (Example 1) A doctor says he can...Ch. 14 - Units and Semesters The registrar at a small...Ch. 14 - Prob. 5SECh. 14 - Prob. 6SECh. 14 - Prob. 7SECh. 14 - Prob. 8SECh. 14 - Semesters and Credits (Example 4) Figure A shows a...Ch. 14 - Prob. 10SE
Ch. 14 - Salaries Figure A shows a scatterplot of the...Ch. 14 - Prob. 12SECh. 14 - Wages of Twins Figure A shows a scatterplot of...Ch. 14 - Simulated Data Figure A shows a scatterplot of...Ch. 14 - Prob. 15SECh. 14 - Movie Budgets Do movies with bigger budgets tend...Ch. 14 - Education of Parents (Example 7) Each of 29...Ch. 14 - Education of Parents Refer to exercise 14.17 and...Ch. 14 - Student and Parent Heights A random sample of 29...Ch. 14 - Trash The weight of trash (in pounds) produced by...Ch. 14 - Prob. 21SECh. 14 - Prob. 22SECh. 14 - Trash and Confidence Intervals The output provided...Ch. 14 - Movie Budgets In exercise 14.16 you examined the...Ch. 14 - Predicted GPA A student who has been accepted by...Ch. 14 - Used BMWs A used-car dealer is purchasing 50 used...Ch. 14 - Predicted Height (Example 9) A mother wants to...Ch. 14 - Predicted GPA A dean of students at a college...Ch. 14 - Loggers A logging company has the diameter of each...Ch. 14 - Prob. 30SECh. 14 - House Prices (Example 10) Figure A contains the...Ch. 14 - Math SAT Score and GPA Figure A shows information...Ch. 14 - Height and Weight A scatterplot of the heights and...Ch. 14 - Waist Size and Weight A scatterplot of the waist...Ch. 14 - GPA and SAT The figure shows 95#37; prediction...Ch. 14 - Shoes and Heights The scatterplot shows shoe size...Ch. 14 - Height and Weight A scatterplot of the heights and...Ch. 14 - Waist Size and Weight A scatterplot of the waist...Ch. 14 - Baseball Players Figure A shows a scatterplot with...Ch. 14 - Predicting Education Figure A shows a scatterplot...Ch. 14 - Life Expectancy and Gestation Periods for Animals...Ch. 14 - Prob. 42CRE
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