Elementary Statistics (Text Only)
Elementary Statistics (Text Only)
2nd Edition
ISBN: 9780077836351
Author: Author
Publisher: McGraw Hill
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Chapter 1.4, Problem 21E

Literary Digest poll: In the 1936 presidential election, Republican candidate Alf Landon challenged President Franklin Roosevelt. The Literary Digest magazine conducted a poll in which they mailed questionnaires to more than 10 million voters. The people who received the questionnaires were drawn from lists of automobile owners and people with telephones. The magazine received 2.3 million responses, and predicted that Landon would win the election in a landslide with 57% of the vote. In fact, Roosevelt won in a landslide with 62% of the vote. Soon afterward, the Literary Digest folded.

  1. In 1936 most people did not own automobiles, and many did not have telephones. Explain how this could have caused the results of the poll to be mistaken.
  2. What can be said about the response rate? Explain how this could have caused the results of the poll to be mistaken.
  3. The Literary Digest believed that its poll would be accurate, because it received 2.3 million responses, which is a very large number. Explain how the poll could be wrong, even with such a large sample.

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Chapter 1 Solutions

Elementary Statistics (Text Only)

Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 17—20, determine whether the number...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 17—20, determine whether the number...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 17—20, determine whether the number...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 17—20, determine whether the number...Ch. 1.1 - Exercises 21—24 refer to the population of...Ch. 1.1 - Exercises 21—24 refer to the population of...Ch. 1.1 - Exercises 21—24 refer to the population of...Ch. 1.1 - Exercises 21—24 refer to the population of...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - In Exercises 25—36, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1.1 - Computer network: Every third day, a computer...Ch. 1.1 - Smartphone apps: A smartphone app produces a...Ch. 1.1 - Youre giving me a headache: A pharmaceutical...Ch. 1.1 - Pay more for recreation? The director of the...Ch. 1.1 - Voter preferences: A pollster wants to sample 500...Ch. 1.1 - Quality control: Products come off an assembly...Ch. 1.1 - On-site day care: A large company wants to sample...Ch. 1.1 - The tax man cometh: The Internal Revenue Service...Ch. 1.1 - Draw a sample: Imagine that you are asked to...Ch. 1.1 - A systematic sample is a cluster sample: Explain...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 11—14, determine whether the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 11—14, determine whether the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 11—14, determine whether the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 11—14, determine whether the...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 15—24, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 25—32, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - In Exercises 33—40, determine whether the data...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 41ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 42ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 43ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 44ECh. 1.2 - Read any good books lately? According to time...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 47ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 48ECh. 1.2 - What do the numbers mean?A survey is administered...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercises 5—10, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - In Exercise 11—16, determine whether the...Ch. 1.3 - To determine the effectiveness of a new pain...Ch. 1.3 - A medical researcher wants to determine whether...Ch. 1.3 - A medical researcher wants to determine whether...Ch. 1.3 - An agricultural scientist wants to determine the...Ch. 1.3 - Air pollution and colds: A scientist wants to...Ch. 1.3 - Cold medications: A scientist wants to determine...Ch. 1.3 - Taxicabs and crime: A sociologist discovered that...Ch. 1.3 - Recovering from heart attacks: In a study of...Ch. 1.3 - Eat your vegetables: In an observational study,...Ch. 1.3 - Vocabulary and height: A vocabulary test was given...Ch. 1.3 - Secondhand smoke: A recent study compared the...Ch. 1.3 - Pollution in China: In a recent study, Z. Zhao and...Ch. 1.3 - The Salk Vaccine Trial: In 1954, the first vaccine...Ch. 1.3 - Another Salk Vaccine Trial: Another study of the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 3—5, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 3—5, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 3—5, fill in each blank with the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 6—8, determine whether the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 6—8, determine whether the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 6—8, determine whether the...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - In Exercises 9—16, specify the type of bias...Ch. 1.4 - Nuclear power, anyone? In a survey conducted by...Ch. 1.4 - Whos calling, please? Random-digit dialing is a...Ch. 1.4 - Whos calling, please? Many polls are conducted...Ch. 1.4 - Order of choices: When multiple-choice questions...Ch. 1.4 - Literary Digest poll: In the 1936 presidential...Ch. 1 - Provide an example of a qualitative variable and...Ch. 1 - Is the name of your favorite author a qualitative...Ch. 1 - Prob. 3CQCh. 1 - Prob. 4CQCh. 1 - True or false: Ideally, a sample should represent...Ch. 1 - Prob. 6CQCh. 1 - Prob. 7CQCh. 1 - Prob. 8CQCh. 1 - Prob. 9CQCh. 1 - Prob. 10CQCh. 1 - Prob. 11CQCh. 1 - Prob. 12CQCh. 1 - In analyzing the course grades of students in an...Ch. 1 - Prob. 14CQCh. 1 - Prob. 15CQCh. 1 - Prob. 1RECh. 1 - Prob. 2RECh. 1 - Prob. 3RECh. 1 - Prob. 4RECh. 1 - In Exercises 5—8, identify the kind of sample...Ch. 1 - Prob. 6RECh. 1 - Prob. 7RECh. 1 - Prob. 8RECh. 1 - Fluoride and tooth decay: Researchers examine the...Ch. 1 - Better gas mileage: A taxi company in a large city...Ch. 1 - Prob. 11RECh. 1 - Prob. 12RECh. 1 - Prob. 13RECh. 1 - Prob. 14RECh. 1 - Prob. 15RECh. 1 - Describe the difference between a stratified...Ch. 1 - Prob. 2WAICh. 1 - Describe circumstances under which each of the...Ch. 1 - Suppose that you were asked to collect some...Ch. 1 - Prob. 5WAICh. 1 - What are the primary differences between a...Ch. 1 - What are the advantages of a double-blind study?...Ch. 1 - Prob. 8WAICh. 1 - Prob. 9WAICh. 1 - Air pollution is a serious problem in many places....Ch. 1 - Prob. 2CSCh. 1 - Air pollution is a serious problem in many places....Ch. 1 - Air pollution is a serious problem in many places....Ch. 1 - Air pollution is a serious problem in many places....Ch. 1 - Air pollution is a serious problem in many places....Ch. 1 - Is there a large difference between the percentage...Ch. 1 - Explain why the percentage of high-exposure people...Ch. 1 - Explain why the percentage of low-exposure people...Ch. 1 - As the weather sets warmer. PM goes down because...Ch. 1 - It is generally the case in epidemiologic studies...Ch. 1 - Rather than send out questionnaires, the...
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