EBK PRINCIPLES OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
10th Edition
ISBN: 8220102744059
Author: HEIZER
Publisher: PEARSON
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Question
Chapter 11.S, Problem 1P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The factors to be considered to come up with probability of super-event or unique-event.
Introduction:
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionStudents have asked these similar questions
From a risk management perspective, what are possible interpretations of 'probability'?
Decision Tree Analysis. You are considering the decision to purchase a machine for internal production or to subcontract the work to an external source. The following information has been provided by your financial managers:
Cost to purchase the machine—$35,000
Cost to subcontract the work—$5,000
Probability of a good market = 70%
Probability of a poor market = 30%
Reward if the prediction occurs:
In the purchase machine decision good market scenario—$80,000;
in the poor market scenario—$30,000
In the Subcontract decision good market scenario—$50,000; in the poor market scenario—$15,000
1. What is the expected value of the decision to purchase the machine?
If the probability of a “super-event” increases, does the “unique-event” risk increase or decrease in importance? Why?
Chapter 11 Solutions
EBK PRINCIPLES OF OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 2DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 3DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 4DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 5DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 6DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 7DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 8DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 9DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1PCh. 11.S - Prob. 2PCh. 11.S - Prob. 3PCh. 11.S - Prob. 4PCh. 11.S - Prob. 5PCh. 11.S - Prob. 6PCh. 11.S - Prob. 7PCh. 11.S - Prob. 8PCh. 11.S - Prob. 9PCh. 11.S - Prob. 10PCh. 11.S - Prob. 11PCh. 11.S - Prob. 12PCh. 11.S - Your options for shipping 100,000 of machine parts...Ch. 11.S - If you have a third option for the data in Problem...Ch. 11.S - Prob. 16PCh. 11.S - Prob. 17PCh. 11.S - Prob. 18PCh. 11.S - Prob. 19PCh. 11.S - Prob. 20PCh. 11 - Prob. 1EDCh. 11 - Prob. 1DQCh. 11 - Prob. 2DQCh. 11 - Prob. 3DQCh. 11 - Prob. 4DQCh. 11 - Prob. 5DQCh. 11 - Prob. 6DQCh. 11 - Prob. 7DQCh. 11 - Prob. 8DQCh. 11 - What is CPFR?Ch. 11 - Prob. 10DQCh. 11 - Prob. 11DQCh. 11 - Prob. 12DQCh. 11 - Prob. 13DQCh. 11 - Prob. 14DQCh. 11 - Prob. 15DQCh. 11 - Prob. 16DQCh. 11 - Prob. 17DQCh. 11 - Prob. 1PCh. 11 - Hau Lee Furniture, Inc., described in Example 1 of...Ch. 11 - Prob. 3PCh. 11 - Prob. 4PCh. 11 - Prob. 5PCh. 11 - Prob. 6PCh. 11 - Prob. 7PCh. 11 - Prob. 8PCh. 11 - Prob. 1CSCh. 11 - Prob. 2CSCh. 11 - Prob. 3CSCh. 11 - Prob. 4CSCh. 11 - Prob. 1.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.4VC
Knowledge Booster
Similar questions
- Use the following information to answer multiple-choice Questions 21 to 30. A fibre glass company is considering the possibility of introducing a new product. Because of the expense involved in developing the initial moulds and acquiring the necessary equipment to produce fibreglass, it has decided to conduct a pilot study to make sure that the market will be adequate. They estimate that the pilot study will cost £12,000. Furthermore, the pilot study can be either successful or unsuccessful. The basic decisions are to build a large manufacturing facility, a small manufacturing facility, or no facility at all. With a favourable market, the company can expect to make £100,000 from the large facility or £60,000 from the smaller facility. If the market is unfavourable, however, they estimate that they would lose £40,000 with a large facility, while they would lose only £30,000 with the small facility. The company estimates that the probability of a favourable market given a successful…arrow_forwardRisk assessments will help to priorities risks and provide information on the probability of harm arising and severity of harm by understanding the hazard, combine assessments of probability and severity to produce an assessment of risk and it is used in the assessment of risk as an aid to decision making. Construction sites are dangerous places where injury or death or illness can cause to workers. Select one typical hazard at a construction site and conduct a full risk assessment for that hazard. You are allowed to make assumptions to answer this question.arrow_forwardYou are a risk manager of a school bus company in Hong Kong, your boss owns over 1,000 school buses. During COVID 19, almost all the school buses parked in no covered car park every day because students no need to be back to school. Your boss is considering a partial retention program for physical losses to the school buses. a) Identify the factors that your company should consider before it adopts a retention program for physical damage losses to school buses. b) If a retention program is adopted, what are the various methods you can use to pay for physical damage losses to school buses? c) Identify two risk-control measures that could be used in your company’s retention program for physical damage lossesarrow_forward
- The decision under different risk approaches such Risk seeking approach/ Risk neutral approach/ Risk Adverse approach. Please give explanation in details.arrow_forwardI posted this question and it's been 18 hours that it still hasn't been answered. I only need the last two questions please (:arrow_forwardWhat is the significance of "risk velocity" and how can it influence decision-making in risk management?arrow_forward
- Sales of a particular product for the years 2017 through 2020 have been 43,466, 63,848, 51,112 and 79,210 respectively. What sales would you predict for 2021 using a simple four-year moving average?arrow_forwardClassify the following risks into variation, foreseen uncertainty, unforeseen uncertainty, and chaos:h. A drug is found to have dangerous side effects following its launcharrow_forwardA manufacturing company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars). State of Nature Decision Low Alternative Demand $1 Medium Demand $2 High Demand 53 Manufacture, d -5 55 115 Purchase, d₂ 60 85 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s₁) = 0.35, P(52) = 0.35, and P(53) = 0.30. (a) Use a decision tree to recommend a decision. The best decision is to purchase the component part. (b) Use EVPI to determine whether the company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand, assuming the estimate would come at no further cost. EVPI = 9 The EVPI suggests that the company should consider an attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand. (c) A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or…arrow_forward
- According to the Institute of Internal Auditors, risk is a combination of the probability of an event and its consequence and that consequences can range from positive to negative True or False?arrow_forwardPlan for the worst-case scenario. Depending on the nature of the issue, a thorough plan for limiting the effect of the risk might take numerous forms?arrow_forwardA category of economic risk is: Liability risk Personal risk Property Risk All of the answers are correct None of the answers are correctarrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,