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Chapter 11, Problem 1P

Suppose we are considering the question of how much capacity to build in the face of uncertain demand. Assume that the cost is $20 per unit of lost sales due to insufficient capacity, Also assume that there is a cost of $7 for each unit of capacity built. The probability of various demand levels is as follows:

Deman d- X Units Probability of X
0 .05
1 .10
2 .15
3 .20
4 .20
5 .15
6 .10
7 .05
  1. a. How many units of capacity should be built to minimize the total cost of providing capacity plus lost sales?
  2. b. State a general rule regarding the amount of capacity to build.
  3. c. What principle does this problem illustrate?

a)

Expert Solution
Check Mark
Summary Introduction

To determine: The number of capacity units required to minimize the total cost of providing capacity plus lost sales.

Introduction:

Capacity planning is the process of planning the required production output based on the requirement or the demand that is predicted.

Explanation of Solution

Given information:

It is given that the cost of the lost sales is $20 per unit, due to insufficient capacity. Assume that the cost is $7 for each unit of capacity built. In addition to this, the following information is given:

Demand - X units Probability of X
0 0.05
1 0.10
2 0.15
3 0.20
4 0.20
5 0.15
6 0.10
7 0.05

Build 0 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 0 units of capacity=(7×0)+20[(0×0.05)+(1×0.10)+(2×0.15)+(3×0.20)+(4×0.20)+(5×0.15)+(6×0.10)+(7×0.05)]=0+20(0+0.10+0.30+0.60+0.80+0.75+0.60+0.35)=20×3.5=70

Build 1 unit of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 1 unit of capacity=(7×1)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10))+(1×0.15)+(2×0.2)+(3×0.20)+(4×0.15)+(5×0.10)+(6×0.05)]=7+20(0+0.15+0.40+0.60+0.60+0.50+0.30)=7+(20×2.55)=58

Build 2 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 2 units of capacity=(7×2)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15))+(1×0.20)+(2×0.2)+(3×0.15)+(4×0.10)+(5×0.05)]=14+20(0+0.20+0.40+0.45+0.40+0.25)=14+(20×1.7)=48

Build 3 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 3 units of capacity=(7×3)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15+0.20))+(1×0.20)+(2×0.15)+(3×0.10)+(4×0.05)]=21+20(0+0.20+0.30+0.30+0.20)=21+(20×1)=41

Build 4 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 4 units of capacity=(7×4)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15+0.20+0.20))+(1×0.15)+(2×0.10)+(3×0.05)]=28+20(0+0.15+0.20+0.15)=28+(20×0.50)=38

Build 5 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 5 units of capacity=(7×5)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15+0.20+0.20+0.15))+(1×0.10)+(2×0.05)]=35+20(0+0.10+0.10)=35+(20×0.20)=39

Build 6 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 6 units of capacity=(7×6)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15+0.20+0.20+0.15+0.10))+(1×0.05)]=42+20(0+0.05)=42+(20×0.05)=43

Build 7 units of capacity:

It is calculated by adding capacity cost and penalty cost.

Build 7 units of capacity=(7×7)+20[(0×(0.05+0.10+0.15+0.20+0.20+0.15+0.10+0.05))]=49+20(0)=49

Hence, the number of capacity units required (that has the minimum total cost of $38) to minimize the total cost of providing capacity plus lost sales is 4 units.

b)

Expert Solution
Check Mark
Summary Introduction

To determine: The general rule regarding the amount of capacity to build.

Introduction:

Capacity planning is the process of planning the required production output based on the requirement or the demand that is predicted.

Explanation of Solution

Given information:

It is given that the cost of the lost sales is $20 per unit due to insufficient capacity. Assume that the cost is $7 for each unit of capacity built. In addition to this, the following information is given:

Demand - X units Probability of X
0 0.05
1 0.10
2 0.15
3 0.20
4 0.20
5 0.15
6 0.10
7 0.05

General instruction regarding the amount of capacity to build:

The general instruction regarding the amount of capacity to build is to minimize the total cost of capacity plus lost sales.

c)

Expert Solution
Check Mark
Summary Introduction

To determine: The principle that is illustrated in the problem.

Introduction:

Capacity planning is the process of planning the required production output based on the requirement or the demand that is predicted.

Explanation of Solution

Given information:

It is given that the cost of the lost sales is $20 per unit due to insufficient capacity. Assume that the cost is $7 for each unit of capacity built. In addition to this, the following information is given:

Demand - X units Probability of X
0 0.05
1 0.10
2 0.15
3 0.20
4 0.20
5 0.15
6 0.10
7 0.05

Determine the principle that is illustrated in the problem:

In the given problem, the trade-off between excess capacity and lost sales is illustrated.

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