Practical Management Science
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305250901
Author: Wayne L. Winston, S. Christian Albright
Publisher: Cengage Learning
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Videos
Textbook Question
Chapter 10, Problem 48P
Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where you place many bets. On each bet, the distribution of your net winnings (loss if negative) is highly skewed to the left because there are some possibilities of really large losses but not much upside potential. Your only simulation output is the average of the results of all the bets. If you run @RISK with many iterations and look at the resulting histogram of this output, what will it look like? Why?
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
Doctor E
Considering contemporary challenges in business, analyze a real-world case where a company successfully navigated a major shift in its marketing strategy to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Discussion Question and Prompt:
Identify the key factors that contributed to the success of their marketing strategy in the face of contemporary issues.
How can businesses draw insights from this case to inform their own marketing strategies amid current business challenges?
1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c)
Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs.
2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8.
Weeks
Sales of hand-held pies(000s)
1
19
2
18
3
17
4
20
5
18
6
22
7
20
Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches:
a) Naïve approach
b) 5-month moving average
c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5.
d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a…
Chapter 10 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Prob. 34PCh. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Answer all parts to question 4 and show all workingarrow_forward1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c) Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs. 2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8. Weeks Sales of hand-held pies(000s) 1 19 2 18 3 17 4 20 5 18 6 22 7 20 Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches: a) Naïve approach b) 5-month moving average c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5. d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a week 2…arrow_forwardWhat area of emotional intelligence refers to the ability to manage your emotions, particularly in stressful situations, and maintain a positive outlook despite setbacks? relationship management self awareness social awareness self managementarrow_forward
- What area of emotional intelligence refers to the ability to manage your emotions, particularly in stressful situations, and maintain a positive outlook despite setbacks? relationship management self awareness social awareness self managementarrow_forwardThis area of emotional intelligence describes your ability to not only understand your strengths and weaknesses but to recognize your emotions and their effect on you and your team’s performance self management self awareness relationship management social awarenessarrow_forwardEmotional intelligence is defined as the ability to understand and manage your emotions, as well as recognize and influence the emotions of those around you. True Falsearrow_forward
- At the Ford automobile Highland plant, assume the one-millionth vehicle was produced in 1916 at a cost of $8084 (in 2013 US$), by how much did the Ford company reduce his cost with each doubling of cumulative output from 1916 to 1927?arrow_forwardAt the Ford automobile Highland plant,in 1913, how long did the average worker stay with the plant and what was the average tenure of a worker?arrow_forwardCommunity Federal Bank in Dothan, Alabama, recently increased its fees to customers who use employees as tellers. Management is interested in whether its new tee policy has increased the number of customers now using its automatic teller machines to that point that more machines are required. The following table provides the number of automatic teller transactions by week. Use trend projection with regression to forecast usage for weeks 13-16.arrow_forward
- Davison Electronics manufactures three LED television monitors, identified as Model A, Model B, and Model C. Davison Electronics four manufacturing plants. Each model has its lowest possible production cost when produced at Plant 1. However, Plant 1 does not have the capacity to handle the total production of all three models. As a result, at least some of the production must be routed to the other manufacturing plants. The following table shows the minimum production requirements for next month, the plant capacities in units per month, and the production cost per unit at each plant: Model Production Cost per Unit Minimum Production Requirements Plant 1 Plant 2 Plant 3 Plant 4 A $25 $28 $37 $34 48,000 B $26 $35 $36 $41 75,000 C $20 $31 $26 $23 60,000 Production Capacity 65,000 50,000 32,000 43,000 Davison’s objective is to determine the cost-minimizing production planarrow_forwardAnecdotally, entrepreneurs frequently encounter two critical dilemmas in managing human resources: the timing of hiring and the decision regarding hiring a generalist versus a specialist for their growing venture. Deciding when to expand a team is crucial, as premature hiring (i.e., hiring too soon) can strain resources, while delayed hiring (i.e., hiring too late) might hinder growth opportunities. Moreover, the choice between hiring a generalist or a specialist depends on the specific needs and stage of the venture, with each option presenting distinct advantages and challenges. To address these issues, a management scholar seeks to identify the factors shaping the hiring cycle throughout the entrepreneurial journey and to understand the criteria for choosing between generalists and specialists at various stages of a venture. The scholar has assembled a sample of 20 experienced South African entrepreneurs who have encountered both failure and success in the financial technology…arrow_forward3. [25 pts.] Four projects are available for investment. The projects require the cash flows and yield the net present values (NPV) (in millions) shown in the following table. Project id. 1 2 Cash outflow at time 0 (million Lira) 8 8 NPV (million Lira) 12 11 3 4 6 5 8 6 If 20 million Lira is available for investment at time 0, find the investment plan that maximizes NPV. All investments are required to be 0 or 1 (fractional investment values are not permitted). a. Formulate the mathematical model. (Write the decision variables, objective function and the constraints.) [10 pts.] b. Find the optimal solution by using Branch and Bound method (Draw the branch and bound tree clearly, write also lower bounds(LB)) (Left branches x=0, right branches x =1) [15 pts.].arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,
Single Exponential Smoothing & Weighted Moving Average Time Series Forecasting; Author: Matt Macarty;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjETktmL4Kg;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Introduction to Forecasting - with Examples; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98K7AG32qv8;License: Standard Youtube License