Practical Management Science
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305250901
Author: Wayne L. Winston, S. Christian Albright
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 10, Problem 31P
A new edition of a very popular textbook will be published a year from now. The publisher currently has 2000 copies on hand and is deciding whether to do another printing before the new edition comes out. The publisher estimates that demand for the book during the next year is governed by the probability distribution in the file P10_31.xlsx. A production run incurs a fixed cost of $10,000 plus a variable cost of $15 per book printed. Books are sold for $130 per book. Any demand that cannot be met incurs a penalty cost of $20 per book, due to loss of goodwill. Up to 500 of any leftover books can be sold to Barnes and Noble for $35 per book. The publisher is interested in maximizing expected profit. The following print-run sizes are under consideration: 0 (no production run) to 16,000 in increments of 2000. What decision would you recommend? Use simulation with 1000 replications. For your optimal decision, the publisher can be 90% certain that the actual profit associated with remaining sales of the current edition will be between what two values?
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Menu Planning Instructions
Use the following questions and points as a guide to completing this assignment. The report should be typed. Give a copy to
the facility preceptor. Submit a copy in your Foodservice System Management weekly submission.
1. Are there any federal regulations and state statutes or rules with which they must comply? Ask preceptor about
regulations that could prescribe a certain amount of food that must be kept on hand for emergencies, etc. Is the facility
accredited by any agency such as Joint Commission?
2. Describe the kind of menu the facility uses (may include standard select menu, menu specific to station, non-select, select,
room service, etc.)
3. What type of foodservice does the facility have? This could be various stations to choose from, self-serve,
4.
conventional, cook-chill, assembly-serve, etc.
Are there things about the facility or system that place a constraint on the menu to be served? Consider how
patients/guests are served (e.g. do they serve…
Work with the chef and/or production manager to identify a menu item (or potential menu item) for which a standardized
recipe is needed.
Record the recipe with which you started and expand it to meet the number of servings required by the facility. Develop an
evaluation rubric.
Conduct an evaluation of the product. There should be three or more people evaluating the product for quality.
Write a brief report of this activity
•
Product chosen and the reason why it was selected
When and where the facility could use the product
The standardized recipe sheet or card
。
o
Use the facility's format or
Design one of your own using a form of your choice; be sure to include the required elements
•
•
Recipe title
Yield and portion size
Cooking time and temperature
Ingredients and quantities
Specify AP or EP
Procedures (direction)
ASSIGNMENT: Inventory, Answer the following questions
1. How does the facility survey inventory?
2. Is there a perpetual system in place?
3. How often do they do a physical inventory?
4. Participate in taking inventory.
5. Which type of stock system does the facility use?
A. Minimum stock- includes a safety factor for replenishing stock
B. Maximum stock- equal to a safety stock plus estimated usage (past usage and forecasts)
C. Mini-max-stock allowed to deplete to a safety level before a new order is submitted to bring up
inventory up to max again
D. Par stock-stock brought up to the par level each time an order is placed regardless of the amount on
hand at the time of order
E. Other-(describe)
Choose an appropriate product and determine how much of an item should be ordered. Remember the
formula is:
Demand during lead time + safety stock = amount to order
Cost out an inventory according to data supplied. Remember that to do this, you will need to take an
inventory, and will need to…
Chapter 10 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Prob. 34PCh. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
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- Human Relations, Systems, and Organization Assignments ORGANIZATION: Review the organization chart for the facility • Draw an organization chart for the department. • . Identify and explain the relationships of different units in the organization and their importance to maintain the food service department's mission. Include a copy in your weekly submission. There is a feature in PowerPoint for doing this should you want to use it. JOB ORGANIZATION: ⚫ A job description is a broad, general, and written statement for a specific job, based on the findings of a job analysis. It generally includes duties, purpose, responsibilities, scope, and working conditions of a job along with the job's title, and the name or designation of the person to whom the employee reports. Job description usually forms the basis of job specification. • Work with your preceptor or supervisor to identify a position for which you will write a job description. Include a copy of the job description you write in your…arrow_forwardASSIGNMENT: Production Sheet Watch at least 3 workers prepare foods. Write down what they do and the amount of time it takes for them to complete the task. Calculate the production cost. Example: Food Item: Green Beans Time Worker #1 Worker #2 Worker #3 Start End Time (Hours) Time Time Activity Activity Activity (Hours) (Hours) 11:45 am 12:01 pm 0.27 Steam and 0.05 Microwave blenderize pureed frozen green green beans beans 16.25 Total Production Time 3 minutes minutes Hourly Wage $16.07 $12.28 24% Benefits *** $3.86 $2.95 Labor Costs $5.37 $0.76 *** Check with facility to see Benefit %arrow_forwardMenu Planning and Quality Monitoring Rotation site: Hospital/Commercial Foodservice Rotation Objectives: Menu development (this will be your Theme Meal) 1. Develop a modified menu (vegetarian, vegan, gluten-free, etc.) that is appropriate in texture, color, flavor, eye appeal, temperature, and methods of preparation. 2. Develop a menu that takes into consideration food preferences due to clients' ethnicity and age group. 3. Develop menus that fulfill the nutritional needs of the target population. 4. Develop a modified menu that maintains consistency with a regular menu. 5. Demonstrate knowledge of operational constraints and limitations when designing menus 6. Identify appropriate type and amounts of foods for an emergency plan. ACTIVITY: Quality improvement monitoring 1. Participates in rounds to get feedback from clients on Theme Meal menu. 2. Takes corrective actions if necessary according to results of the quality measures 3. Completes one or more critical incident reports for the…arrow_forward
- Work with the chef and/or production manager to identify a menu item (or potential menu item) for which a standardized recipe is needed. Record the recipe with which you started and expand it to meet the number of servings required by the facility. Develop an evaluation rubric. Conduct an evaluation of the product. There should be three or more people evaluating the product for quality. Write a brief report of this activity • Product chosen and the reason why it was selected When and where the facility could use the product The standardized recipe sheet or card ○ Use the facility's format or о Design one of your own using a form of your choice; be sure to include the required elements Recipe title " Yield and portion size ■ Cooking time and temperature Ingredients and quantities Specify AP or EP Procedures (direction)arrow_forwardItem Prepared: Work with one or more cold food production workers to learn job descriptions, flow of work, how the menu items are prepared and served, and needs for further training or process improvement. Document a specific menu item you prepared. Record the temperature of a product when it goes into the refrigerator or blast chiller. Record how long it took for the product to cool to the appropriate temperature. Evaluate the menu item you were involved in preparing. Follow the product and process to completion and utilize resources to correct any wrong procedures you observe. Take your notes and write a brief report of the actual experience based on the following criteria: 1. Pre-preparation 2. Preparation 3. Compare menu item to diets it is used for by completing a nutritional analysis 4. Temperatures during and after preparation. 5. Tray service to patient or guest (how it looks, holds up, appropriate temperature maintained from production through delivery) 6. Waste disposal (what…arrow_forwardWork with one or more hot food production workers to learn job descriptions, flow of work, how the menu items are prepared and served, and needs for further training or process improvement. Document a specific menu item you prepared. Record the temperature of a product when it is done. If it is to be chilled and reheated later, systematically measure the temperature every 30 minutes and record how long it takes the product to reach a safe temperature for storage. Evaluate the menu item you were involved in preparing. Follow the product and process to completion and utilize resources to correct any wrong procedures you observe. Take notes and write a brief report of the actual experience based on the following criteria: 1. Pre-preparation 2. Preparation 3. Compare menu item to diets it is used for by completing a nutritional analysis 4. Temperatures during and after preparation. 5. Tray service to patient or guest (how it looks, holds up, appropriate temperature maintained from…arrow_forward
- Refrigerated/Freezer- Dietary Mangement (Nursing Home) Describe the refrigerated/freezer storage area and procedures. Are any of the refrigerated/ frozen areas locked? Who has access? What kind of shelving is used? Are there any products stored on the floor? Are the items dated as received? How is the stock rotated to ensure that the oldest items are used first? Are temperature and humidity monitored? If yes, how? Has mold ever been a problem? Are there any regular procedures in place to control it? How often are the refrigerated/freezer storage areas cleaned?arrow_forwardRECEIVING AND STORAGE ASSIGNMENTS- Dietary Mangement (Nursing Home) ASSIGNMENT: Diagram the receiving and storage areas. Use arrows to show the flow of goods as they are received and moved to storage. ASSIGNMENT: In order to accurately understand this area, the intern should work in the receiving area to complete the following assignments and answer the following questions: Inspect the delivery and check it against the purchase Inspect the delivery against the invoice Accept order only if all quantities and quality specifications are met Check perishable items first Check temperatures of refrigerated and frozen items on arrival Look for evidence of thawing or freezer burn Randomly open cases to check contents Complete receiving records Transfer goods to appropriate storage Who checks the packing slip against the invoice? Does the facility ever use “blind” receiving where the receiving clerk checks the order against an invoice where the amounts have been blanked out and the clerk…arrow_forwardPurchasing, Receiving, Storage, and Inventory Instructions- Dietary management in a nursing home in ABQ NM What workers are involved in the purchasing, receiving, storage and inventory process. Complete the table below: Position Description of their job duties Date/ What did they do? Answer the questions below: PURCHASING: 1. Is there a centralized purchasing department for the facility? If yes, observe someone in that department for a half day if possible, if no write N/A 2. What kinds of items are required to go out for formal bid? 3. What about capital purchases? What is the dollar amount at which an item must go on the capital rather than the operating budget? 4. Does the facility participate with a group to cooperatively purchase items? 5. Is there a Prime Vendor? If yes, how often is the contract renegotiated? 6. Is informal or open-market buying used for any items? Which ones? 7. Who orders…arrow_forward
- Critical Incident Report- Dietary Mangement Critical incidences involve critical thinking and problem solving techniques. This exercise is the opportunity to analyze and decide on the appropriateness of the action and to determine better ways to solve problems, approach employees and get the job done. This exercise should help in doing it better the next time. As you observe or become more involved in the situations that require problem solving or critical thinking use this exercise to identify the what, who, and when and determine how the actions taken or not taken affected the outcome. You must write up two or more experiences. The summary is to include two parts: 1. Objective data of what occurred and how it occurred: 2. Analysis of what happened and what we could or would have done to make the outcome better.arrow_forwardPrepare a graph of the monthly forecasts and average forecast demand for Chicago Paint Corp., a manufacturer of specialized paint for artists. Compute the demand per day for each month (round your responses to one decimal place). Month B Production Days Demand Forecast Demand per Day January 21 950 February 19 1,150 March 21 1,150 April 20 1,250 May 23 1,200 June 22 1,000' July 20 1,350 August 21 1,250 September 21 1,050 October 21 1,050 November 21 December 225 950 19 850arrow_forwardThe president of Hill Enterprises, Terri Hill, projects the firm's aggregate demand requirements over the next 8 months as follows: 2,300 January 1,500 May February 1,700 June 2,100 March April 1,700 1,700 July August 1,900 1,500 Her operations manager is considering a new plan, which begins in January with 200 units of inventory on hand. Stockout cost of lost sales is $125 per unit. Inventory holding cost is $25 per unit per month. Ignore any idle-time costs. The plan is called plan C. Plan C: Keep a stable workforce by maintaining a constant production rate equal to the average gross requirements excluding initial inventory and allow varying inventory levels. Conduct your analysis for January through August. The average monthly demand requirement = units. (Enter your response as a whole number.) In order to arrive at the costs, first compute the ending inventory and stockout units for each month by filling in the table below (enter your responses as whole numbers). Ending E Period…arrow_forward
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