Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305631540
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.; Albright, S. Christian
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 10, Problem 30P
Summary Introduction
To determine: Whether Person X should switch between doors.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
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Emma can either buy a used car or buy a new car.
The used car costs $12,800 with a 40% chance she will run into mechanical problems that will cost $3500 to repair.
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A NY Times best-selling author wants to write a new book as either volume II of her earlier successful book or an autobiography. She believes that by writing the volume II, given her previous success, she will have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. However, the worst-case scenario, if she can’t get a major publisher to take it, then she thinks there is 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand, if she writes an autobiography, considering the potential interest in her journey as successful writer, she thinks there will be 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If she can’t get a major publisher to take it, the worst-case scenario, she thinks there is a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.
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Chapter 10 Solutions
Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
Ch. 10.2 - Use the RAND function and the Copy command to...Ch. 10.2 - Use Excels functions (not @RISK) to generate 1000...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a uniform distribution from 400...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a normal distribution with mean...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a binomial distribution that...Ch. 10.2 - Use @RISK to draw a triangular distribution with...Ch. 10.2 - We all hate to keep track of small change. By...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 10.4 - In August of the current year, a car dealer is...
Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 10.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 10.5 - If you add several normally distributed random...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 11 from the previous section, we stated...Ch. 10.5 - Continuing the previous problem, assume, as in...Ch. 10.5 - In Problem 12 of the previous section, suppose...Ch. 10.5 - Use @RISK to analyze the sweatshirt situation in...Ch. 10.5 - Although the normal distribution is a reasonable...Ch. 10.6 - When you use @RISKs correlation feature to...Ch. 10.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 10.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Six months before its annual convention, the...Ch. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - A new edition of a very popular textbook will be...Ch. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - W. L. Brown, a direct marketer of womens clothing,...Ch. 10 - Prob. 34PCh. 10 - Lemingtons is trying to determine how many Jean...Ch. 10 - Dilberts Department Store is trying to determine...Ch. 10 - It is surprising (but true) that if 23 people are...Ch. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - At the beginning of each week, a machine is in one...Ch. 10 - Simulation can be used to illustrate a number of...Ch. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - If you want to replicate the results of a...Ch. 10 - Suppose you simulate a gambling situation where...Ch. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Big Hit Video must determine how many copies of a...Ch. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Why is the RISKCORRMAT function necessary? How...Ch. 10 - Consider the claim that normally distributed...Ch. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - When you use a RISKSIMTABLE function for a...Ch. 10 - Consider a situation where there is a cost that is...
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