Year 3. A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table. 5-year 3-year Exponential Exponential Smoothing Moving Moving Smoothing Average Average (w=0.9) (w=0.3) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Actual Demand 800 925 900 1025 1150 1160 1200 1150 1270 1290 ... a. Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (with a w= 0.9 and a w=0.3). Note: The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming (Ye+1) = (Y₂) b. Using the forecasts from 2018 through 2022, compare the accuracy of each of the forecasting methods based on the RMSE criterion. c. Which forecast would you have used for 2023? Why?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Year
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
3. A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table.
5-year 3-year
Moving Moving
Exponential Exponential
Smoothing Smoothing
(w=0.9) (w=0.3)
Average
Average
Actual
Demand
800
925
900
1025
1150
1160
1200
1150
1270
1290
a. Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year
moving average, and exponential smoothing (with a w=0.9 and a w = 0.3).
Note: The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming
(Ye+1) = (Y₂)
b. Using the forecasts from 2018 through 2022, compare the accuracy of each of the
forecasting methods based on the RMSE criterion.
c. Which forecast would you have used for 2023? Why?
Transcribed Image Text:Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 3. A firm experienced the demand shown in the following table. 5-year 3-year Moving Moving Exponential Exponential Smoothing Smoothing (w=0.9) (w=0.3) Average Average Actual Demand 800 925 900 1025 1150 1160 1200 1150 1270 1290 a. Fill in the table by preparing forecasts based on a five-year moving average, a three-year moving average, and exponential smoothing (with a w=0.9 and a w = 0.3). Note: The exponential smoothing forecasts may be begun by assuming (Ye+1) = (Y₂) b. Using the forecasts from 2018 through 2022, compare the accuracy of each of the forecasting methods based on the RMSE criterion. c. Which forecast would you have used for 2023? Why?
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