The topic is Linear Programming - Minimization
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The topic is Linear Programming - Minimization
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- (4) The Great Northwest Outdoor Company is a catalog sales operation that specializes in outdoor recreational clothing. Demand for its items is very seasonal, peaking during the holiday season and during the spring. It has accumulated the following data for orders per season (quarter) during the past five years. Orders (1,000s) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Winter (Q 1) Spring (Q 2) Summer (Q 3) 18.6 18.1 22.4 23.2 24.5 23.5 24.7 28.8 27.6 31.0 20.4 19.5 21.0 24.4 23.7 Fall (Q 4) Total 41.9 46.3 45.5 47.1 52.8 104.4 108.6 117.7 122.3 132.0 Develop a seasonally adjusted forecast model for these order data. Forecast demand for each quarter for year 6, using the annual trend line as given: Y(t) = 96.33 + 6.89t (a) Find seasonal index for each quarter (b) Find seasonally adjusted demand forecast for each quarter for year 6 (c) Find MAD for seasonally adjusted forecasting for year 1 through 5.Sales in hunderds) of XYX Cc for the previous 7 months are 80, 82. 88, 95, 103, 105 and 122 respectively. Forecast the sales by 4 point moving average method for the forthcoming penod Oa 10260 units Ob 10625 units Oc 11000 units d. 113500 units1 Given the data below. Find the forecast value from June to December Month Actual Demand Forecast January February 380 420 March 375 April May 285 325 June July August Sept October November December ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ??
- The K&R Camera shop sells all the latest cameras and accessories. To meet customer demand, the manager must forecast demand for items she sells. Lately the XR-42S zoom lens has been very popular. Recent monthly demand for this item has been as shown: Number of Lenses Month Sold 1 12 17 2 3 4 15 20 18 23 6.The monthly demand for units manufactured by the Acme Rocket Company has been as follows:Month Units Month UnitsMay 100 September 105June 80 October 110July 110 November 125August 115 December 120a. Use the exponential smoothing method to forecast the number of units for June to January. Theinitial forecast for May was 105 units; a = 0.2.b. Calculate the absolute percentage error for each month from June through December and theMAD and MAPE of forecast error as of the end of December.c. Calculate the tracking signal as of the end of December. What can you say about the performanceof your forecasting method?12.2. The manager of the I-85 Carpet Outlet needs to be able to forecast accurately the demand for Soft Shag carpet (its biggest seller). If the manager does not order enough carpet from the carpet mill, customers will buy their carpets from one of the outlet’s many competitors. The manager has collected the following demand data for the past eight months: Month Demand for Soft Shag Carpet (1000 yd)1 52 103 64 85 146 107 98 12 a. Compute a three-month moving average forecast for months 4 through 9. b. Compute a weighted three-month moving average forecast for months 4 through 9. Assign weights of .55, .33, and .12 to the months in sequence, starting with…
- gnment 1.d X ment%202.pdf .xlsx HP Work & Supply Chain Marakane Sales JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Total - 1 / 2 - Question 1 The monthly demand of a company is showed below, please use the static method to forecast the demand for Year 6. Year 1 Q Search 2,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 4,000 6,000 7,000 6,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 8,000 78,000 Catherine Caramp....pdf Z Year 2 140% 3,000 4,000 3,000 5,000 5,000 8,000 3,000 8,000 12,000 12,000 16,000 10,000 89,000 LDE + @ I Assignment 2 Year 3 Question 2 Historical demand for Peeps is as displayed in the table. 2,000 5,000 5,000 3,000 4,000 6,000 7,000 10,000 15,000 15,000 18,000 8,000 98,000 T2202- 2022.pdf 0 Year 4 }}) 5,000 4,000 4,000 2,000 5,000 7,000 10,000 14,000 16,000 16,000 20,000 12,000 115,000 ! Year 5 5,000 2,000 3,000 2,000 7,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 20,000 20,000 22,000 8,000 113,000 Q☆ l EN USDetermine the Forecast Error for the data below using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) formula. Month Demand Forecast 16 205 210 17 197 175 18 230 210 19 240 228 20 252 220 Question 11 options: a) 15.8 b) 15.7 c) 19.1 d) 16.7Month Demand Forecast Error Abs Error alpha 1 20 2 18 3 21 4 25 5 24 6 27 7 22 8 30 9 23 10 20 11 29 12 22 Mean Bias MAD (mean error) Problem 6: Maverick Jeans' demand manager decided to evaluate exponential smoothing. To maintain com- parability, she used the data from problem 6, copied below. 1 Month 2 3 Demand 20 18 21 25 4 5 24 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 27 22 30 23 20 29 22 Develop forecasts for months 5-12. Calculate the Bias and MAD. Use a starting forecast of 20 for month 4 and an alpha value of 0.2. (Note: Adjust all cell values to two decimal points.)
- Given the demand data, answer the following questions below. Year Sales 1 - 123 2 - 118 3 - 109 4 - 112 5 -100 6 -110 7 -124 8 - ? What will be the forecast demand in Year 8 using Naïve method?a.) 120b.) 110c.) 115d.) 124abcdefu meanConduct an ABC analysis on the following twelve items. SKU $ Value/Unit Annual Use (units) B 60 580 D 52 620 36 720 K 20 600 38 300 40 250 25 360 16 280 G 480 10 320 12 240 22 120