The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the expected value with this perfect information?
The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the expected value with this perfect information?
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Transcribed Image Text:The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations.
Alternatives
Alternative 1
Alternative 2
Alternative 3
Do Nothing
130
166
36
States of Nature
A
160
200
120
0
B C
The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2,
respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the
expected value with this perfect information?
100 120
100
140
0
180
50
120
0
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