The expected number of days to completion for a different project is E(x) = 3.32 The variance of days to completion is var(x) = 1.22 The project cost involves A fixed cost (in thousands of dollars) of FC = $83.783 A variable cost for each day taken to complete the project ($000) VC = $9.774 16 The standard deviation of the project cost is $________. a 13.041 b 12.245 c 11.497 d 10.796
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The expected number of days to completion for a different project is | E(x) = | 3.32 |
The variance of days to completion is | var(x) = | 1.22 |
The project cost involves |
A fixed cost (in thousands of dollars) of | FC = | $83.783 |
A variable cost for each day taken to complete the project ($000) | VC = | $9.774 |
16 | The standard deviation of the project cost is $________. | |||
a | 13.041 | |||
b | 12.245 | |||
c | 11.497 | |||
d | 10.796 |
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- c. What is the expected project completion time? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Project completion time d. What is the probability of completing this project within 16 days? (Use Excel's NORMSDIST() function to find the correct probability for your computed Z-value. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round "2" value to 2 decimal places and final answer to 4 decimal places.) Probability 10 00 days 09994The expected number of days to completion for a different project is E(x) = 3.32 The variance of days to completion is var(x) = 1.22 The project cost involves A fixed cost (in thousands of dollars) of FC = $83.783 A variable cost for each day taken to complete the project ($000) VC = $9.774 14 The expected value of the project cost is $_______ thousand. a 109.364 b 112.746 c 116.233 d 119.828The expected number of days to completion for a different project is E(x) = 3.32 The variance of days to completion is var(x) = 1.22 The project cost involves A fixed cost (in thousands of dollars) of FC = $83.783 A variable cost for each day taken to complete the project ($000) VC = $9.774 15 The variance of project cost is ________. a 116.548 b 113.153 c 109.858 d 106.658
- The following precedence diagram reflects three time estimates for each activity. Determine: Use Table B1 and Table B2. 9-10-12 3 8 5-7-10 8-10-14 11-12-13 6 11 14-18-26 10.5-13-15.5 10 8-8-8 1 5-6-7 2 4 13-13-13 7 7-10-12 a. The expected completion time for each path and its variance. (Round intermediate calculations to 4 decimal places and final answers to 2 decimal places.) Path Mean Var. Std. Dev. 1-2-3-8-11 37.33 1-2-4-6-11 43.00 5.11 1-2-4-7-11 0.81 1-2-5-9-10-11 46.83 1.25 9-9-9 10-11-12 10-12-14Using your results from Problem 6,(a) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 38 weeks.(b) Calculate the probability that the project will be completedin 42 weeks10.6 This optional problem requires knowledge of statistics. Heywood Home Healthcare is evaluating a project with the following net cash flows and probabilities: Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Prob = 0.2 ($100,000) 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 30,000 Prob = 0.6 ($100,000) 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 40,000 Prob = 0.2 ($100,000) 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 50,000 The year 5 values include salvage value. Heywood’s corporate cost of capital is 10 percent. What is the project’s expected NPV on the basis of the scenario analysis? What is the project’s standard deviation of NPV? Assume that Heywood’s managers judge the project to have lower-than-average risk. Furthermore, the company’s policy is to adjust the corporate cost of capital up or down by 3 percentage points to account for differential risk. Is the project financially attractive?
- The following represents a project that should be scheduled using CPM: ACTIVITY ABCDEFGH А с IMMEDIATE PREDECESSORS IAABUDR C,D D,E F,G TIMES (DAYS) b a 1 1 3 - NTTTTE 1 1 1 1 2 m 5 WaNNASNU 2 5 4 2 2 6 3 ∞∞NWO3770 9 10 12 8A company is willing to develop their rocket before the end of current financial year which is now 28 weeks away. The chief engineer of the company has decided to use PERT technique in order to plan, schedule and control program of development for the data given in table below. What is the probability that the program will be completed by the end of the current financial year? (all durations are in weeks). (i) G) Optimum Duration Most likely duration Pesimistic duration 1 2 3 8 13 3 2 8 4 3 8 10 4 7 10 3 6. 3 8 4 9 10 4 8. 4 9. 5 7 9. 12 6. 5 11 7 9. 14 8 4. 00 2.1.) You have determined the following for a given project: Expected completion time of the project = 40 weeks Standard deviation of project completion time = 8 What is the probability of completing the project in more than 44 weeks? answer as a decimal and take it to four places.
- Create a risk matrix for this project:Event Cost ($000) ProbabilityEquipment breakdown 40 .20Vendor is late with key segment 200 .60Subcontractor has labor issues 140 .30Weather problems 15 UnknownFunding delays 50 .40 to .60Testing delays 20 .40Explain your reasoning for your placement of the events Weather problems and Funding delays.11. Using PERT, Adam Munson was able to determine that the expected project completion time for the construction of a pleasure yacht is 24 months, and the project variance is 4. Part 2 a) The probability that the project will be completed in 20 months = ______ (round your response to four decimal places)A project has the following tasks and duration estimates given. These three tasks are done in succession on a project. Task Optimistic Estimate Most Likely Estimate Pessimistic Estimate Alpha 30 days 40 days 50 days Beta 20 days 25 days 28 days Charlie 4 days 10 days 12 days Delta 25 days 30 days 50 days What is the expected duration for the project? (3 points) What is the variance for the project? (3 points) What is the standard deviation of the project? (3 points) What is the range of the duration of the project given 3 sigma? (3 points)
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