The article "Uncertainty and Climate Change" (G. Heal and B. Kriström, Environmental and Resource Economics, 2002:3–39) considers three scenarios, labeled A, B, and C, for the impact of global warming on income. For each scenario, a probability mass function for the loss of income is specified. These are presented in the following table. Probability Loss (%) Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C 0.65 0.65 0.65 2 0.24 0.2 0.24 0.1 10 0.01 15 0.1 0.1 0.01 20 0.05 25 Assume that the probabilities that each of the three scenarios occurs are P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(C) = 0.50. Find the probability that scenario A occurs and that the loss is 5%. b. a. Find the probability that the loss is 5%. Find the probability that scenario A occurs given that the loss is 5%. C.
The article "Uncertainty and Climate Change" (G. Heal and B. Kriström, Environmental and Resource Economics, 2002:3–39) considers three scenarios, labeled A, B, and C, for the impact of global warming on income. For each scenario, a probability mass function for the loss of income is specified. These are presented in the following table. Probability Loss (%) Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C 0.65 0.65 0.65 2 0.24 0.2 0.24 0.1 10 0.01 15 0.1 0.1 0.01 20 0.05 25 Assume that the probabilities that each of the three scenarios occurs are P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(C) = 0.50. Find the probability that scenario A occurs and that the loss is 5%. b. a. Find the probability that the loss is 5%. Find the probability that scenario A occurs given that the loss is 5%. C.
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![The article "Uncertainty and Climate Change" (G. Heal and B. Kriström, Environmental
and Resource Economics, 2002:3–39) considers three scenarios, labeled A, B, and C, for the
impact of global warming on income. For each scenario, a probability mass function for the
loss of income is specified. These are presented in the following table.
Probability
Loss (%)
Scenario A
Scenario B
Scenario C
0.65
0.65
0.65
2
0.24
0.2
0.24
0.1
10
0.01
15
0.1
0.1
0.01
20
0.05
25](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2Fd5096382-9ef2-4064-a3fd-0a3aed732c88%2Fa23d3d81-9660-4e6f-8eb6-9c72a2150743%2Fbbcbih8.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:The article "Uncertainty and Climate Change" (G. Heal and B. Kriström, Environmental
and Resource Economics, 2002:3–39) considers three scenarios, labeled A, B, and C, for the
impact of global warming on income. For each scenario, a probability mass function for the
loss of income is specified. These are presented in the following table.
Probability
Loss (%)
Scenario A
Scenario B
Scenario C
0.65
0.65
0.65
2
0.24
0.2
0.24
0.1
10
0.01
15
0.1
0.1
0.01
20
0.05
25
![Assume that the probabilities that each of the three scenarios occurs
are P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(C) = 0.50.
Find the probability that scenario A occurs and that the loss is 5%.
b.
a.
Find the probability that the loss is 5%.
Find the probability that scenario A occurs given that the loss is 5%.
C.](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2Fd5096382-9ef2-4064-a3fd-0a3aed732c88%2Fa23d3d81-9660-4e6f-8eb6-9c72a2150743%2Fvax2l7c.png&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:Assume that the probabilities that each of the three scenarios occurs
are P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(C) = 0.50.
Find the probability that scenario A occurs and that the loss is 5%.
b.
a.
Find the probability that the loss is 5%.
Find the probability that scenario A occurs given that the loss is 5%.
C.
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