Supposed we have the following probabilities: P(Safety Belt Malfunctions) = 0.02 P(Worker Doesn't Wear Belt) = 0.08 P(Boot Failure) = 0.05 P(Wind/Rain) = 0.04 (Need a supplier with lower failure rate!) (Need mangers who hold workers accountable. Need to hire better workers!!) (Need workers who are more careful!) (Need to pay attention to weather!) What is the probability of a SCAFFOLDING ACCIDENT?

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P(Safety Belt Malfunctions) = 0.02
P(Worker Doesn't Wear Belt) = 0.08
P(Boot Failure) = 0.05
P(Wind/Rain) = 0.04
Supposed we have the following probabilities:
Assume:
●
What is the probability of a SCAFFOLDING ACCIDENT?
●
Safety Belt
Malfunctions
●
Worker Doesn't
Wear Belt
●
Boot Failure
Rain/Wind
(Need a supplier with lower failure rate!)
(Need mangers who hold workers accountable. Need to hire better workers!!)
(Need workers who are more careful!)
(Need to pay attention to weather!)
Safety Belt Malfunctions and Worker Doesn't Wear Belt are MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE.
Worker Slips and Wind/Rain could happen at the same time. So, these events are NOT MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE.
Worker Slips and Wind/Rain events are INDEPENDENT.
Safety Belt Doesn't Save Worker and Worker Slips events are INDEPENDENT.
Transcribed Image Text:P(Safety Belt Malfunctions) = 0.02 P(Worker Doesn't Wear Belt) = 0.08 P(Boot Failure) = 0.05 P(Wind/Rain) = 0.04 Supposed we have the following probabilities: Assume: ● What is the probability of a SCAFFOLDING ACCIDENT? ● Safety Belt Malfunctions ● Worker Doesn't Wear Belt ● Boot Failure Rain/Wind (Need a supplier with lower failure rate!) (Need mangers who hold workers accountable. Need to hire better workers!!) (Need workers who are more careful!) (Need to pay attention to weather!) Safety Belt Malfunctions and Worker Doesn't Wear Belt are MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE. Worker Slips and Wind/Rain could happen at the same time. So, these events are NOT MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE. Worker Slips and Wind/Rain events are INDEPENDENT. Safety Belt Doesn't Save Worker and Worker Slips events are INDEPENDENT.
Suppose a company is investigating an accident where a worker fell from a scaffolding and the following fault tree was
created (very simplistic for demonstration purposes).
P(Safety Belt Malfunctions) = 0.02
P(Worker Doesn't Wear Belt) = 0.08
P(Boot Failure) = 0.05
P(Wind/Rain) = 0.04
Scaffolding
Accident
Safety Belt
Doesn't Save
Worker
Supposed we have the following probabilities:
Assume:
Safety Belt
Malfunctions
Worker Doesn't
Wear Belt
What is the probability of a SCAFFOLDING ACCIDENT?
Worker Slips
Boot Failure
Rain/Wind
(Need a supplier with lower failure rate!)
(Need mangers who hold workers accountable. Need to hire better workers!!)
(Need workers who are more careful!)
(Need to pay attention to weather!)
Safety Belt Malfunctions and Worker Doesn't Wear Belt are MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE.
Transcribed Image Text:Suppose a company is investigating an accident where a worker fell from a scaffolding and the following fault tree was created (very simplistic for demonstration purposes). P(Safety Belt Malfunctions) = 0.02 P(Worker Doesn't Wear Belt) = 0.08 P(Boot Failure) = 0.05 P(Wind/Rain) = 0.04 Scaffolding Accident Safety Belt Doesn't Save Worker Supposed we have the following probabilities: Assume: Safety Belt Malfunctions Worker Doesn't Wear Belt What is the probability of a SCAFFOLDING ACCIDENT? Worker Slips Boot Failure Rain/Wind (Need a supplier with lower failure rate!) (Need mangers who hold workers accountable. Need to hire better workers!!) (Need workers who are more careful!) (Need to pay attention to weather!) Safety Belt Malfunctions and Worker Doesn't Wear Belt are MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE.
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