To start this problem you'll find it useful to draw a tree similar to the one in the picture. Your probabilities will differ from those shown in the picture. 80 .00s 995 HR not HR .04 96 HR=high risk Four percent of the people in a certain city are in a high risk group for HIV infection, and 6% of the people in this high risk group are HIV positive. However, only 0.7% of the people who are not in the high risk group are HIV positive. (Hint: Pay special attention when converting percentages into a decimals in this problem.) Answer the following questions. (Give your answers correct to five decimal places.) (a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is HIV positive? (b) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is both in the high risk group AND is HIV positive? (c) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is in the high risk group OR is HIV positive OR is both? (d) If you know that a specific person is HIV positive, what is the conditional probability that this person is in the high risk group?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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To start this problem you'll find it useful to draw a tree similar to the one in the picture. Your probabilities will differ from those shown in the picture.
.20
80
.005
995
HR
not HR
.04
96 HR=high risk
Four percent of the people in a certain city are in a high risk group for HIV infection, and 6% of the people in this high risk group are HIV positive. However, only 0.7% of the people who are not in the high risk group are HIV positive. (Hint: Pay special
attention when converting percentages into a decimals in this problem.)
Answer the following questions. (Give your answers correct to five decimal places.)
(a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is HIV positive?
(b) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is both in the high risk group AND is HIV positive?
(c) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is in the high risk group OR is HIV positive OR is both?
(d) If you know that a specific person is HIV positive, what is the conditional probability that this person is in the high risk group?
Transcribed Image Text:To start this problem you'll find it useful to draw a tree similar to the one in the picture. Your probabilities will differ from those shown in the picture. .20 80 .005 995 HR not HR .04 96 HR=high risk Four percent of the people in a certain city are in a high risk group for HIV infection, and 6% of the people in this high risk group are HIV positive. However, only 0.7% of the people who are not in the high risk group are HIV positive. (Hint: Pay special attention when converting percentages into a decimals in this problem.) Answer the following questions. (Give your answers correct to five decimal places.) (a) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is HIV positive? (b) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is both in the high risk group AND is HIV positive? (c) What is the probability that a randomly chosen person from this city is in the high risk group OR is HIV positive OR is both? (d) If you know that a specific person is HIV positive, what is the conditional probability that this person is in the high risk group?
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