Suppose that a local factory uses a type of equipment called a super-drill. Suppose that at the start of each day, the machine must be restarted. Suppose that upon restarting, there is a .95 probability that the machine boots into normal mode, and a .05 probability that the machine boots into problem mode, independent of all else. Suppose that if the machine is in normal mode, each hole drilled is high quality with probability .98, and low quality with probability .02, independently for each hole drilled that day. Suppose that if the machine is in problem mode, each hole drilled is high quality with probability .55, and low quality with probability .45, independently for each hole drilled that day. What is the probability that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of low quality? b. Suppose that you are told that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of high quality. What is the conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that day? c. Suppose that you are told that tomorrow exactly 10 holes are drilled, and that at least 2 of these holes are high quality. What is the conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that day? a.

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E. Suppose that a local factory uses a type of equipment called a super-drill. Suppose that at the start of
each day, the machine must be restarted. Suppose that upon restarting, there is a .95 probability that
the machine boots into normal mode, and a .05 probability that the machine boots into problem mode,
independent of all else. Suppose that if the machine is in normal mode, each hole drilled is high
quality with probability .98, and low quality with probability.02, independently for each hole drilled
that day. Suppose that if the machine is in problem mode, each hole drilled is high quality with
probability .55, and low quality with probability .45, independently for each hole drilled that day.
What is the probability that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of low quality?
b. Suppose that you are told that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of high quality. What is the
conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that day?
c. Suppose that you are told that tomorrow exactly 10 holes are drilled, and that at least 2 of these
holes are high quality. What is the conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that.
day?
a.
SW atunim ano
Transcribed Image Text:E. Suppose that a local factory uses a type of equipment called a super-drill. Suppose that at the start of each day, the machine must be restarted. Suppose that upon restarting, there is a .95 probability that the machine boots into normal mode, and a .05 probability that the machine boots into problem mode, independent of all else. Suppose that if the machine is in normal mode, each hole drilled is high quality with probability .98, and low quality with probability.02, independently for each hole drilled that day. Suppose that if the machine is in problem mode, each hole drilled is high quality with probability .55, and low quality with probability .45, independently for each hole drilled that day. What is the probability that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of low quality? b. Suppose that you are told that the first hole drilled tomorrow is of high quality. What is the conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that day? c. Suppose that you are told that tomorrow exactly 10 holes are drilled, and that at least 2 of these holes are high quality. What is the conditional probability that the drill is in normal mode that. day? a. SW atunim ano
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