Simulation To start the simulation, review all communication and documents. You will find key information to assist your success in the simulation. Actual Demand in Previous Months 15K MAPE: 0% Demand 10K 5K Regular Midgrade 0% 0% 0 January 2025 (24 Month Remaining) ՈՐ AUG o Make a Forecast Current Decision Past Decision Forecast for January 2025 Sept Month Range 00 Oct Nov Dec Use Al REGULAR ↓ 0 t Gallons (3 chances) MIDGRADE 1 Gallons Forecast demand can not be less than 100! Answer Price Prediction: M Possible increase in January 2025 Regular + Midgrade
Simulation To start the simulation, review all communication and documents. You will find key information to assist your success in the simulation. Actual Demand in Previous Months 15K MAPE: 0% Demand 10K 5K Regular Midgrade 0% 0% 0 January 2025 (24 Month Remaining) ՈՐ AUG o Make a Forecast Current Decision Past Decision Forecast for January 2025 Sept Month Range 00 Oct Nov Dec Use Al REGULAR ↓ 0 t Gallons (3 chances) MIDGRADE 1 Gallons Forecast demand can not be less than 100! Answer Price Prediction: M Possible increase in January 2025 Regular + Midgrade
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.3: Simple Regression Models
Problem 9P
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Question
(All info i was given, i simplified it)
Gas sales across type: 80% of gas sales tend to be regular. 15% midgrade, 5% tend to be premium. $0.10 increase in price per gallon tends to decrease gallons sold by 1 to 3%. Jan-0.87, Feb-0.95, Mar-1.00, Apr-1.05, May-1.08, Jun1.15, Jul-1.13, Aug-1.07, Sep-1.02, Oct-0.94, Nov-0.89, Dec-0.85.
You want the MAPE to be below 20%, if ypu can get it to or below 10% they'll throw in extra $10k bonus. They wont get bonus if it is above 11% or 20%. It cannot be over 20%.
Forecast for January 2025 and

Transcribed Image Text:Simulation
To start the simulation, review all communication and documents. You will find key information to assist your
success in the simulation.
Actual Demand in Previous Months
15K
MAPE: 0%
Demand
10K
5K
Regular Midgrade
0%
0%
0
January 2025
(24 Month Remaining)
ՈՐ
AUG
o Make a Forecast
Current Decision
Past Decision
Forecast for January 2025
Sept
Month Range
00
Oct
Nov
Dec
Use Al
REGULAR
↓
0
t
Gallons
(3 chances)
MIDGRADE
1
Gallons
Forecast demand can not be less than 100!
Answer
Price Prediction: M
Possible increase in January
2025
Regular
+ Midgrade
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