Sales of Orange computer have grown steadily during the past 5 years: Year Sales 1 450 2 295 3 518 4 563 5 584 6 ? My sales manager had predicted, before the business started, that year 1’s sales would be 410 computers. What are required: Develop forecasts for years 2 through 6 by using exponential smoothing with a weight of alpha = 0.30 Develop forecasts for the sales of Orange computers by using smoothing constants of 0.6 and 0.9 Help me to propose the most accurate forecast in smoothing constant, based on forecast at no.2 above. Help me to critically evaluate the effect that the smoothing constant have on the forecast for Orange computers.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Sales of Orange computer have grown steadily during the past 5 years:

Year

Sales

1

450

2

295

3

518

4

563

5

584

6

?

My sales manager had predicted, before the business started, that year 1’s sales would be 410 computers.

What are required:

  1. Develop forecasts for years 2 through 6 by using exponential smoothing with a weight of alpha = 0.30
  2. Develop forecasts for the sales of Orange computers by using smoothing constants of 0.6 and 0.9
  3. Help me to propose the most accurate forecast in smoothing constant, based on forecast at no.2 above.
  4. Help me to critically evaluate the effect that the smoothing constant have on the forecast for Orange computers. 
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