Residents of Mill River have fond memories of ice skating at a local park. An artist has captured the experience in a drawing and is hoping to reproduce it and sell framed copies to current and former residents. He thinks that if market is not good, he could sell 400 copies of the version at Rs.125 each. If the market is good, he would only sell 300 at Rs. 90 each. He could make   a   deluxe    version    of the same drawing instead. He feels that if the market were not good he could sell 500 copies of the deluxe version at Rs.100. If the market is good, he would only sell 400 copies at Rs.70 each.     In either case, production costs would be approximately Rs.35,000. He could also choose to do nothing at this time. If he believes there are a 40% probability of a good market, and 60% probability of not good market, what should he do? Why?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Residents of Mill River have fond memories of ice skating at a local park. An artist has captured the experience in a drawing and is hoping to reproduce it and sell framed copies to current and former residents. He thinks that if market is not good, he could sell 400 copies of the version at Rs.125 each. If the market is good, he would only sell 300 at Rs. 90 each. He could make   a   deluxe    version    of the same drawing instead. He feels that if the market were not good he could sell 500 copies of the deluxe version at Rs.100. If the market is good, he would only sell 400 copies at Rs.70 each.     In either case, production costs would be approximately Rs.35,000. He could also choose to do nothing at this time. If he believes there are a 40% probability of a good market, and 60% probability of not good market, what should he do? Why?

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