Refer to the following payoff table:AlternativeA1A2Prior ProbabilityState of NatureS1S2-401000.47500.6There is an option of paying $100 to have research done to better predict which state of nature will occur. Whenthe true state of nature is S1, the research will accurately predict S1 60% of the time. When the true state of natureis S2, the research will accurately predict S2 80% of the time.Given that the research is not done, what is the expected payoff using Bayes' decision rule? Multiple ChoiceOOO294075100

Given data: State of nature Alternative S1 S2 A1 75 -40 A2 0 100 Prior…

Answered: Refer to the following payoff table:…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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An electronics factory operates on four production lines: laptops, mobiles, desktop computers, smart boards, and there were three cases of demand (weak, medium, and high), and the matrix of returns was as follows: Laptops Mobiles Risk Desktop Computers Smart Boards High 40 45 35 30 Economic state Medium 25 15 30 20 1. The problem presented above is decision-making under Certainty Uncertainty Weak 10 5 -10 -5 Save All Answers Save and Submit
The mayor of a town believes that more than 72% of the residents favor construction of an adjoining community. Is there sufficient evidence at the 0.05level to support the mayor's claim? State the null and alternative hypotheses for the above scenario.
Discuss in 300 words the different types of probability sampling designs and briefly explain how these differ from non-probability sampling approaches. Provide at least two relevant references.
the coefficient
The University of Miami bookstore stocks textbooks in preparation for sales each semester. It normally relies on departmental forecasts and preregistration records to determine how many copies of a text are needed. Preregistration shows 85 operations management students enrolled, but bookstore manager Vaidy Jayaraman has second thoughts, based on his intuition and some historical evidence. Vaidy believes that the distribution of sales may range from 65 to 85 units, according to the following probability model: Demand Probability 65 0.05 Stock 65 70 75 80 85 70 0.25 This textbook costs the bookstore $82 and sells for $107. Any unsold copies can be returned to the publisher, less a restocking fee and shipping, for a net refund of $30. a) Based on the given information, Vaidy's conditional profits table for the bookstore is: Demand 75 P=0.30 65 P = 0.05 0000 70 P = 0.25 75 0.30 ☐☐☐☐ 80 0.15 00000 80 85 P = 0.15 P = 0.25 30000 85 0.25 ☐☐☐☐
At an Oxford grocery store, the manager Jenny Produce buys lettuce each day to ensure really fresh produce. In her focus on quality, each morning any lettuce that is left from the previous day is sold to a dealer that resells it to farmers who use it to feed their animals. This week Jenny can buy fresh lettuce for $10.00 a box. The lettuce is sold for $22.00 a box and the dealer that sells old lettuce is willing to pay $2.00 a box. Past history says that tomorrow's demand for lettuce averages 270 boxes with a standard deviation of 44 boxes. How many boxes of lettuce should Jenny purchase tomorrow? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the Z-score. Round intermediate calculations to four decimal places. Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) I have asked this 3 times and nobody has got it right.
An emerging issue in the practice of risk management is that, based on a study, there is no alignment with current sustainability reports * True False
true or false Some speculative risks are insurable (T) The possibility of not meeting the annual sales target of one million dollar set by the top management is an example of strategic risk. ABC Insurance Company plans to sell fire insurance in Kedah. ABC expects that eight buildings out of every 100, on average, will report claims each year. The variation between the loss that ABC expects to occur and the loss that actually occurs can be measured by range, variance, standard deviation or coefficient of variation A total loss to the car that could happen to a driver as a result of a collision is an example of pure risk.
The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): State of Nature Low Demand Medium Demand High Demand Decision Alternative s1 s2 s3 Manufacture, d1 -20 40 100 Purchase, d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. Use a decision tree to recommend a decision.Recommended decision: Use EVPI to determine whether Gorman should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand. EVPI: $ fill in the blank 3 A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F | s1) = 0.10 P(U | s1) = 0.90 P(F | s2) = 0.40 P(U |…
Sami Abbasi Health Food stocks five loaves of Vita-Bread. The probability distribution for the sales of VitaBread is listed in the following table. How many loaves will Sami sell on the average?Number of Loaves Sold Probability0 .051 .152 .203 .254 .205 .15
3
Texas Petroleum Company is a producer of crude oil that is considering two drilling projects with the following profit outcomes and associated probabilities: Drilling Project, A Profit -$300,000 100,000 500,000 600,000 Probability (percent) 10 60 20 10 Drilling Project, B Profit -$600,000 100,000 300,000 1,000,000 The manager's attitude toward risk is as follows: Profit ($'000) -600 -300 100 U(II) 0.00 0.05 0.20 Note: U(II) stands for utility index of profit. 300 0.30 500 0.45 Probability (percent) 15 25 40 20 600 0.55 1,000 1.00 In making decision under risk, which project will be chosen by the manager of Texas Petroleum Company based on his behaviour toward risk? Also describe the manager's ways of handling decision-making associate with risk. Justify your answers using numerical explanation.

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