QUESTION 3 (Using the same problem) A vendor for the local ballpark food stand is questioning whether to stock his concession with a large or small inventory. He believes that it will depend upon the size of the crowd. He has developed a payoff matrix for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd). What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)? PROFIT (S) Average Crowd $50,000 $70,000 .50 Alternatives Large Inventory Small Inventory Probability A) $68,400 OB) $78,400 OC) $10,000 OD)-$20,000 E) $51,500 Large Crowd $220,000 $90,000 .20 Small Crowd -$2,000 -$5,000 .30

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QUESTION 3
(Using the same problem) A vendor for the local ballpark food stand is questioning whether to stock his concession with a large or small
inventory. He believes that it will depend upon the size of the crowd. He has developed a payoff matrix for the various alternatives (stocking
decision) and states of nature (size of crowd). What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)?
PROFIT ($)
Average
Crowd
$50,000
$70,000
.50
Alternatives
Large Inventory
Small Inventory
Probability
A) $68,400
B) $78,400
C) $10,000
D) -$20,000
E) $51,500
Large
Crowd
$220,000
$90,000
.20
Small
Crowd
-$2,000
-$5,000
.30
Transcribed Image Text:QUESTION 3 (Using the same problem) A vendor for the local ballpark food stand is questioning whether to stock his concession with a large or small inventory. He believes that it will depend upon the size of the crowd. He has developed a payoff matrix for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd). What is the Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI)? PROFIT ($) Average Crowd $50,000 $70,000 .50 Alternatives Large Inventory Small Inventory Probability A) $68,400 B) $78,400 C) $10,000 D) -$20,000 E) $51,500 Large Crowd $220,000 $90,000 .20 Small Crowd -$2,000 -$5,000 .30
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