QUESTION 1 The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months. Months             Sales January             69 February            75 March                86 April                   92 May                    95 June                 100 July                   108 August              115 September       125 October            131 November        140 December       150 a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:- i. A simple three month moving average.  ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the highest weight to the most recent data.  iii. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350. iv. Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD

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QUESTION 1


The table below shows the sales figures for a brand of shoe over the last 12 months.

Months             Sales
January             69
February            75
March                86
April                   92
May                    95
June                 100
July                   108
August              115
September       125
October            131
November        140
December       150


a. Using the following, forecast the sales for the months up to January the following year:-
i. A simple three month moving average. 
ii. A three period weighted moving average using weights of 1, 2 and 3. Assign the
highest weight to the most recent data. 
iii. Exponential Smoothing when α= .6 and the forecast for March is 350.

iv. Determine which of the three forecasting technique is the most accurate using MAD

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