What is the linear trend forecast for September? Month Month Sales Feb 1 19 Mar 2 18 Apr 3 15 May 4 20 Jun 5 18 Jul 6 22 Aug 7 20

Practical Management Science
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Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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Question

What is the linear trend forecast for September?

Month

Month

Sales

Feb

1

19

Mar

2

18

Apr

3

15

May

4

20

Jun

5

18

Jul

6

22

Aug

7

20

Expert Solution
Step 1

Linear trend equation is the simplest form of regression analysis. It is used to predict the next value in a time series based on the preceding values.

In order to use a linear trend equation, we need to have a set of data that follows a linear pattern. The data has to be ordered by time and there should not be any gaps in between.

The formula for the linear trend equation is:

y = b0 + b1*x

where: y is the next value in the series, x is the current value, and b0 and b1 is intercepts and slope respectively that are determined by analyzing the data.

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