Given the following history, use a three-quarter moving average to forecast the demand for the third quarter of this year. Note, the 1stquarter is Jan, Feb, and Mar, 2nd quarter Apr, May, Jun; 3rd quarter Jul, Aug, Sep, and 4th quarter Oct, Nov, Dec.JANFEBMARAPR MAYLast yearThis year130 150155215225155155205220245JUN JUL230 175250AUG SEP165 155OCT NOV DEC230 255 280Forecast for the third quarter

In operations management, Forecasting serves as a navigating tool for ships traversing uncharted…

Answered: Given the following history, use a…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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Similar questions

Provide complete and detailed solution
A forecast for the first six months of the year revealed a tendency to underpredict the actual demand for the revitalized Hubig’s Pies plant in the Marigny. Month Actual Forecast January 675 600 February 720 700 March 640 620 April 510 495 May 480 410 June 565 535 What is the mean squared error of this forecast? a. 1,694 b. 1,873 c. 2,075 d. 1,469
Please consider the following information and make forecasts for January, February, March, and April of Year 2. Use second-order polynomial regression to make forecasts. Adjusted seasonal index Actual sales Deseasonalized sales 836 825 Year 1 Year 2 January February March April May June July August September October November December January February March April 0.72 0.75 1:22 1.48 1 1.23 0.7 0.78 0.92 1.13 1.28 1.33 0.72 0.75 1.22 1.48 1220 1319 1020 1184 685 641 875 1008 1068 1141
Explain the distinction between short- and long-term forecasts?
Considering the fact that the number of students is relatively constant throughout the academic year, the college's cafeteria is planning for the second semester based of the actual sales the first semester. Month Actual Sales of Fall 2016 Forecast of Spring 2017 September 250 October 300 November 280 December 200 With the given information, can the forecast of November be obtained using a 3-month weighted moving average? Explain you answer.
Month Demand Forecast Error 1 20 2 18 3 21 4 25 5 24 6 27 7 22 8 30 9 23 10 20 11 29 12 22 Mean Abs Error Problem 6: The demand manager of Maverick Jeans is responsible for ensuring sufficient warehouse space for the finished jeans that come from the production plants. It has occasionally been necessary to rent public warehouse space, something that Maverick would like to avoid. In order to estimate the space requirements the demand manager is evaluating moving-average forecasts. The demand (in 1,000 case units) for the last fiscal year is shown below. Bias MAD (mean error) Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Demand 20 18 21 25 24 27 22 30 23 20 29 22 Use a three-month moving average to estimate the month-in- advance forecast of demand for months 4-12. Calculate the Bias and MAD. (Note: Adjust all cell values to two decimal points.)
Describe when to use of a time series forecasting techniques and what assumption are made?
Given is a historical time series for job services demand in the prior 6 months. Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 Demand 799 816 789 814 815 805 The Period 6 forecast by using weighted moving average with weights of 0.05, 0.25, 0.40, and 0.30 = Blank 1 (in 2 decimal places)
Explain different forecasting techniques like moving averages, exponential smoothing, regression etc.
What effect does the number of cycles in a moving average have on the forecast's responsiveness?
snip
Use simple exponential smoothing with a=0.6 to forecast chargers sales for February through May. Assume that the forecast for January was 24 chargers. *** Month January Charger Sales 42 February 33 March 28 April 59 May ? a) What will be the forecast for May? b) Calculate the MSE.

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