Problems 2 Helen Murvis, hospital administrator for Portland General Hospital, is trying to determine whether to build a large wing onto the existing hospital, a small wing, or no wing at all. If the population of Portland continues to grow, a large wing could return $150,000 to the hospital each year. If the small wing were built, it would return $60,000 to the hospital each year if the population continues to grow. If the population of Portland remains the same, the hospital would encounter a loss of $85,000 if the large wing were built. Furthermore, a loss of $45,000 would be realized if the small wing were constructed and the population remains the same. Unfortunately, Helen does not have any information about the future population of Portland Develop a decision table for this problem. Determine the best decision using the following decision criteria 1. Maximax 2. Maximin 3. Minimax Regret 4. Hurwicz (use a coefficient of realism of 0.75) Equal likelihood 5. 6. Expected Value 7. Expected Opportunity loss 8. Develop a decision tree with expected values at the probability nodes. Calculate the EVPI 9
Problems 2 Helen Murvis, hospital administrator for Portland General Hospital, is trying to determine whether to build a large wing onto the existing hospital, a small wing, or no wing at all. If the population of Portland continues to grow, a large wing could return $150,000 to the hospital each year. If the small wing were built, it would return $60,000 to the hospital each year if the population continues to grow. If the population of Portland remains the same, the hospital would encounter a loss of $85,000 if the large wing were built. Furthermore, a loss of $45,000 would be realized if the small wing were constructed and the population remains the same. Unfortunately, Helen does not have any information about the future population of Portland Develop a decision table for this problem. Determine the best decision using the following decision criteria 1. Maximax 2. Maximin 3. Minimax Regret 4. Hurwicz (use a coefficient of realism of 0.75) Equal likelihood 5. 6. Expected Value 7. Expected Opportunity loss 8. Develop a decision tree with expected values at the probability nodes. Calculate the EVPI 9
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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