Clients are building a midrise apartment community in San Diego. Below are the unit sizes and prices they are proposing at the site (for first floor units). Given that the building will be 7 stories high and we can expect each floor to generate a 1% premium for views, what will the unit prices be on the 7th floor? What is the overall weighted average? Unit Size (SF) 1st Floor sth Floor 7th Floor [Overall Average # of Units 40 500 $1,800 бо 750 $2,200 30 $2,800 1100 20 1300 $3,500 Total/Average: 150 827 s2,387
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- What is brown-gibson model for plant location>?>?>>??>?>Sarah has been custom manufacturing sweaters now for 7 years. Her annual sales are shown below. Year Sales 1 178 2 215 3 233 4 301 5 337 6 330 7 361 What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using a 3 year moving average? What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using a 5 year weighted average where w1=.4, w2=.3, w3=.15, w4=.1, w5=.05? What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using exponential smoothing? Assume year 7 forecast was 323. Select your own alpha. Which forecast method is the best for Sarah to use based on MAD? Why?Problem 7 At Treasure Wine Estates in Napa, CA the Sales and Marketing Department have developed a linear trend equation that can be used to predict sales of its popular wine brands. Ft 90+ 12.5t Where F₁ = Annual sales (000 bottles) t = years A. Are annual sales increasing or decreasing? B. By how much? C. Predict annual sales for year 8 using the equation Note: round your answer
- Explain how is the moving avarages l approach equivalent to exponential smoothing ?Sarah has been custom manufacturing sweaters now for 7 years. Her annual sales are shown below. Year Sales 1 178 2 215 3 233 4 301 5 337 6 330 7 361 What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using a 5 year weighted average where w1=.4, w2=.3, w3=.15, w4=.1, w5=.05? What are her forecasted sales for year 8 using exponential smoothing? Assume year 7 forecast was 323. Select your own alpha. Which forecast method is the best for Sarah to use based on MAD? Why?How is moving average approach related to exponential smoothing?
- 2. A major airline uses an airport in a large city as a hub for its connecting flights. Each day the airline faces a number of claims from its passengers who lost their baggage. The number of lost baggage claims in the last 14 days have been 67, 25, 57, 58, 35, 29, 77, 44, 38, 36, 23, 69, 53, and 45 a. Use moving average method with N = 3 to forecast the expected number of claims for tomorrow. b. Use exponential smoothing method with parameter α = 0.7 to forecast the number of lost baggage claims that the airline should expect in the next 2 days. c. If the criterion for accuracy is the mean squared error (MSE), which of the forecasting methods in parts (a) and (b) are preferred? d. If you become in charge of providing forecasts for the number of claims in the next 2 days using exponential smoothing method, what would be your point and 90-percent prediction interval forecasts for the number of claims in each of the next 2 days? Use MSE as your evaluation criterion.The construction manager for Acme Construction, Inc., must decide whether to build single-family homes, apartments, or condominiums. He estimates annual profits (in $000) will vary with the population trend as follows: Type POPULATION TREND Declining Stable Growing Single Family 200 90 70 Apartments 70 170 90 Condos (20 ) 100 220 If he feels the chances of declining, stable, and growing population trends are 40 percent, 50 percent, and 10 percent, respectively, what is his expected value of perfect information?9. A time-series trend equation is 25.3 + 21x. What is your forecast for period 7? Part 2 A. 172.3 B. 324.1 C. 32.3 D. 25.3 E. 40.0
- Theme Park (5S-7A) The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to Renew the lease for another 10 years or to Relocate near the site of a proposed new motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.20 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Options Renew Relocate Alternative Renew Relocate Motel Approved a-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate"! $ 400,000 2,000,000 O Renew O Relocate Motel Rejected $4,000,000 100,000 Expected Value a-2. Which alternative should it choose? b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning…The Northville Post Office experiences a seasonal pattern of daily mail volume every week. The followingdata for two representative weeks are expressed in thousands of pieces of mail:Day Week 1 Week 2Sunday 5 8Monday 20 15Tuesday 30 32Wednesday 35 30Thursday 49 45Friday 70 70Saturday 15 10Total 224 210 a. Calculate a seasonal factor for each day of the week.b. If the postmaster estimates 230,000 pieces of mail to be sorted next week, forecast the volume foreach day of the week.Which of the following types of property is eligible for an FHA purchase transaction? Rental property Personal property CO Agricultural property DO HUD real estate-owned property BO