Please help with the corrected answers in details: The following time series shows the sales of a particular product over the past 12 months. Month Sales 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 What type of pattern exists in the data? The data appear to follow a trend pattern. The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern. The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern.The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern. (b) Use ? = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Month t Time Series Value Yt Forecast Ft 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 (c) Use a smoothing constant of ? = 0.4 to compute the exponential smoothing forecasts. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Month t Time Series Value Yt Forecast Ft 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 Does a smoothing constant of 0.2 or 0.4 appear to provide more accurate forecasts based on MSE? Choose one? 1) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is greater for 0.2 than for 0.4. 2) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is greater for 0.4 than for 0.2. 3) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is less for 0.4 than for 0.2. 4) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is less for 0.2 than for 0.4.
Please help with the corrected answers in details: The following time series shows the sales of a particular product over the past 12 months. Month Sales 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 What type of pattern exists in the data? The data appear to follow a trend pattern. The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern. The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern.The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern. (b) Use ? = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Month t Time Series Value Yt Forecast Ft 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 (c) Use a smoothing constant of ? = 0.4 to compute the exponential smoothing forecasts. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Month t Time Series Value Yt Forecast Ft 1 105 2 135 3 120 4 105 5 90 6 120 7 145 8 140 9 100 10 80 11 100 12 110 Does a smoothing constant of 0.2 or 0.4 appear to provide more accurate forecasts based on MSE? Choose one? 1) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is greater for 0.2 than for 0.4. 2) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is greater for 0.4 than for 0.2. 3) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is less for 0.4 than for 0.2. 4) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is less for 0.2 than for 0.4.
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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Please help with the corrected answers in details:
The following time series shows the sales of a particular product over the past 12 months.
Month | Sales |
---|---|
1 | 105 |
2 | 135 |
3 | 120 |
4 | 105 |
5 | 90 |
6 | 120 |
7 | 145 |
8 | 140 |
9 | 100 |
10 | 80 |
11 | 100 |
12 | 110 |
What type of pattern exists in the data?
The data appear to follow a trend pattern.
The data appear to follow a horizontal pattern.
The data appear to follow a cyclical pattern.The data appear to follow a seasonal pattern.
(b) Use ? = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
Month t | Time Series Value Yt
|
Forecast
Ft
|
---|---|---|
1 | 105 | |
2 | 135 | |
3 | 120 | |
4 | 105 | |
5 | 90 | |
6 | 120 | |
7 | 145 | |
8 | 140 | |
9 | 100 | |
10 | 80 | |
11 | 100 | |
12 | 110 |
(c) Use a smoothing constant of ? = 0.4 to compute the exponential smoothing forecasts. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
Month t | Time Series Value Yt
|
Forecast
Ft
|
---|---|---|
1 | 105 | |
2 | 135 | |
3 | 120 | |
4 | 105 | |
5 | 90 | |
6 | 120 | |
7 | 145 | |
8 | 140 | |
9 | 100 | |
10 | 80 | |
11 | 100 | |
12 | 110 |
Does a smoothing constant of 0.2 or 0.4 appear to provide more accurate forecasts based on MSE? Choose one?
1) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is greater for 0.2 than for 0.4. 2) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is greater for 0.4 than for 0.2.
3) smoothing constant of 0.4 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.2 since the MSE is less for 0.4 than for 0.2.
4) smoothing constant of 0.2 is better than a smoothing constant of 0.4 since the MSE is less for 0.2 than for 0.4.
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