Patrick Bateman is considering four alternatives Friday night. The payoff for each opportunity will depend on economic and other conditions and are represented in the payoff table below. Poor Average Good Excellent Return videotapes 70 75 80 95 Dinner at Dorsia 95 40 200 220 Pick up friends in his limo 105 85 95 120 Design new business cards 65 105 120 125 Under which decision making and amount is the: A) optimistic B) pessimistic C) minimax D) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the optimal decision under the expected value approach? E) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the expected value of perfect information?
Patrick Bateman is considering four alternatives Friday night. The payoff for each opportunity will depend on economic and other conditions and are represented in the payoff table below. Poor Average Good Excellent Return videotapes 70 75 80 95 Dinner at Dorsia 95 40 200 220 Pick up friends in his limo 105 85 95 120 Design new business cards 65 105 120 125 Under which decision making and amount is the: A) optimistic B) pessimistic C) minimax D) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the optimal decision under the expected value approach? E) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the expected value of perfect information?
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
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Patrick Bateman is considering four alternatives Friday night. The payoff for each opportunity will depend on economic and other conditions and are represented in the payoff table below.
|
Poor |
Average |
Good |
Excellent |
Return videotapes |
70 |
75 |
80 |
95 |
Dinner at Dorsia |
95 |
40 |
200 |
220 |
Pick up friends in his limo |
105 |
85 |
95 |
120 |
Design new business cards |
65 |
105 |
120 |
125 |
Under which decision making and amount is the:
- A) optimistic
- B) pessimistic
- C) minimax
- D) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the optimal decision under the expected value approach?
- E) Suppose that the likelihood for each of the scenarios is 0.5, 0.1, 0.35, and 0.05 What is the expected value of perfect information?
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