Month Forecast Actual Monthly Cumulative Monthly Cumulative 1 100 100 110 110 2 100 200 125 235 100 300 120 355 4 100 400 125 480 5 100 500 130 610 6 100 600 110 720 Total 600 600 720 720 FIGURE 8.8 Forecast and actual sales with bias. Week Actual Demand Forecast 1 103 100 112 3 113 4 120 128 131 7 140 8 142 2. 6.
Month Forecast Actual Monthly Cumulative Monthly Cumulative 1 100 100 110 110 2 100 200 125 235 100 300 120 355 4 100 400 125 480 5 100 500 130 610 6 100 600 110 720 Total 600 600 720 720 FIGURE 8.8 Forecast and actual sales with bias. Week Actual Demand Forecast 1 103 100 112 3 113 4 120 128 131 7 140 8 142 2. 6.
Chapter1: Taking Risks And Making Profits Within The Dynamic Business Environment
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1CE
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Question
Weekly demand for an item averaged 100 units over the past year. Actual demand for
the next eight weeks is shown in what follows:
a. Plot the data on graph paper.
b. Letting a = 0.25, calculate the smoothed forecast for each week.
c. Comment on how well the forecast is tracking actual demand. Is it lagging or leading actual demand?
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