Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited. The following payoff table gives the profit that would be realized during the next year for each of three investments alternatives Mickey is considering:                                                 State of Nature Decision alternatives            Good Economy         Poor Economy Stock market                           80,000                         -20,000 Bonds                                      30,000                         20,000   CDs                                         23,000                         23,000 Probability                               0.5                               0.5 Compute decision would maximize expected profits. Compute the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy.

Practical Management Science
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Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited.

The following payoff table gives the profit that would be realized during the next year for each of three investments alternatives Mickey is considering:

                                                State of Nature

Decision alternatives            Good Economy         Poor Economy

Stock market                           80,000                         -20,000

Bonds                                      30,000                         20,000  

CDs                                         23,000                         23,000

Probability                               0.5                               0.5

  1. Compute decision would maximize expected profits.
  2. Compute the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy.

 

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