Many high schools now have drug-testing programs for athletes. The main goal of these programs is to reduce the use of banned substances by students who play sports. It is not practical to test every athlete for drug use regularly. Instead, school administrators give drug tests to randomly selected student athletes at unannounced times during the school year. Students who test positive face serious consequences, including letters to their parents, required counseling, and suspension from athletic participation. Drug tests aren't perfect. Sometimes the tests say that athletes took a banned substance when they did not. This is known as a false positive. Other times, drug tests say that athletes are "clean" when they did take a banned substance. This is called a false negative. Suppose that 16% of the high school athletes in a large school district have taken a banned substance. The drug test used by this district has a false positive rate of 5% and a false negativ
Many high schools now have drug-testing programs for athletes. The main goal of these programs is to reduce the use of banned substances by students who play sports. It is not practical to test every athlete for drug use regularly. Instead, school administrators give drug tests to randomly selected student athletes at unannounced times during the school year. Students who test positive face serious consequences, including letters to their parents, required counseling, and suspension from athletic participation.
Drug tests aren't perfect. Sometimes the tests say that athletes took a banned substance when they did not. This is known as a false positive. Other times, drug tests say that athletes are "clean" when they did take a banned substance. This is called a false negative.
Suppose that 16% of the high school athletes in a large school district have taken a banned substance. The drug test used by this district has a false positive rate of 5% and a false negative rate of 10%. If a randomly chosen athlete tests positive, what is the chance that the student actually took a banned substance. Use what you have learned in this chapter to help answer the following questions about the district's drug-te site.)
The district decides to immediately retest an athlete who tests positive. Assume that the results of an athlete's two tests are independent. Find the probability that a student who gets a positive result on both tests actually took a banned substance
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