Mammography and clinical breast examination are the two major techniques used to screen for breast cancer. However, as true for any screening test, they are not completely accurate. If it is determined, based on mammographic findings, that there is a possibility of breast cancer, this is usually confirmed or disconfirmed by a subsequent biopsy. A false positive test is a mammogram positive test that is disconfirmed by biopsy. The data in Table 1 were reported in a paper concerning breast cancer screening (Elmore, et of Medicine 1998; 338(16): 1089-1096). New England Journal Table 1 False positive breast cancer screening tests over a 10-year period # Screening tests # False positive tests 9762 631 1. Suppose that 5% of all mammograms are obtained from women who truly have breast cancer. What is the proportion of mammograms that will yield test positive results? Hint: Subdivide the probability of a test positive mammogram into two mutually exclusive components of {test positive mammograms with breast cancer}, and {test positive mammograms without breast cancer}, and use the results of parts (b) and (c) to evaluate each of these components.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
icon
Related questions
Question
Mammography and clinical breast examination are the two major techniques used to screen
for breast cancer. However, as true for any screening test, they are not completely accurate.
If it is determined, based on mammographic findings, that there is a possibility of breast
cancer, this is usually confirmed or disconfirmed by a subsequent biopsy. A false positive test
is a mammogram positive test that is disconfirmed by biopsy. The data in Table 1 were
reported in a paper concerning breast cancer screening (Elmore, et al, New England Journal
of Medicine 1998; 338(16): 1089-1096).
Table 1 False positive breast cancer screening tests over a 10-year period
# Screening tests
# False positive tests
9762
631
1. Suppose that 5% of all mammograms are obtained from women who truly have breast cancer.
What is the proportion of mammograms that will yield test positive results?
Hint: Subdivide the probability of a test positive mammogram into two mutually exclusive
components of {test positive mammograms with breast cancer}, and {test positive
mammograms without breast cancer}, and use the results of parts (b) and (c) to evaluate
each of these components.
Transcribed Image Text:Mammography and clinical breast examination are the two major techniques used to screen for breast cancer. However, as true for any screening test, they are not completely accurate. If it is determined, based on mammographic findings, that there is a possibility of breast cancer, this is usually confirmed or disconfirmed by a subsequent biopsy. A false positive test is a mammogram positive test that is disconfirmed by biopsy. The data in Table 1 were reported in a paper concerning breast cancer screening (Elmore, et al, New England Journal of Medicine 1998; 338(16): 1089-1096). Table 1 False positive breast cancer screening tests over a 10-year period # Screening tests # False positive tests 9762 631 1. Suppose that 5% of all mammograms are obtained from women who truly have breast cancer. What is the proportion of mammograms that will yield test positive results? Hint: Subdivide the probability of a test positive mammogram into two mutually exclusive components of {test positive mammograms with breast cancer}, and {test positive mammograms without breast cancer}, and use the results of parts (b) and (c) to evaluate each of these components.
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 2 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
Probability
ISBN:
9780134753119
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON
A First Course in Probability
A First Course in Probability
Probability
ISBN:
9780321794772
Author:
Sheldon Ross
Publisher:
PEARSON