Mammography and clinical breast examination are the two major techniques used to screen for breast cancer. However, as true for any screening test, they are not completely accurate. If it is determined, based on mammographic findings, that there is a possibility of breast cancer, this is usually confirmed or disconfirmed by a subsequent biopsy. A false positive test is a mammogram positive test that is disconfirmed by biopsy. The data in Table 1 were reported in a paper concerning breast cancer screening (Elmore, et of Medicine 1998; 338(16): 1089-1096). New England Journal Table 1 False positive breast cancer screening tests over a 10-year period # Screening tests # False positive tests 9762 631 1. Suppose that 5% of all mammograms are obtained from women who truly have breast cancer. What is the proportion of mammograms that will yield test positive results? Hint: Subdivide the probability of a test positive mammogram into two mutually exclusive components of {test positive mammograms with breast cancer}, and {test positive mammograms without breast cancer}, and use the results of parts (b) and (c) to evaluate each of these components.
Mammography and clinical breast examination are the two major techniques used to screen for breast cancer. However, as true for any screening test, they are not completely accurate. If it is determined, based on mammographic findings, that there is a possibility of breast cancer, this is usually confirmed or disconfirmed by a subsequent biopsy. A false positive test is a mammogram positive test that is disconfirmed by biopsy. The data in Table 1 were reported in a paper concerning breast cancer screening (Elmore, et of Medicine 1998; 338(16): 1089-1096). New England Journal Table 1 False positive breast cancer screening tests over a 10-year period # Screening tests # False positive tests 9762 631 1. Suppose that 5% of all mammograms are obtained from women who truly have breast cancer. What is the proportion of mammograms that will yield test positive results? Hint: Subdivide the probability of a test positive mammogram into two mutually exclusive components of {test positive mammograms with breast cancer}, and {test positive mammograms without breast cancer}, and use the results of parts (b) and (c) to evaluate each of these components.
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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