In analysing switching by Business Class customers between airlines the following data has been obtained by British Airways (BA): Next flight by ВА Competition Last flight by BA 0.85 0.15 Competition 0.10 0.90 For example if the last flight by a Business Class customer was by BA the probability that their next flight is by BA is 0.85. Business Class customers make 2 flights a year on average. Currently BA have 30% of the Business Class market. What would you forecast BA's share of the Business Class market to be after two years? (in percent)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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In analysing switching by Business Class customers between airlines the following data has been obtained by
British Airways (BA):
Next flight by
ВА
Competition
Last flight by BA
0.85
0.15
Competition
0.10
0.90
For example if the last flight by a Business Class customer was by BA the probability that their next flight is by BA
is 0.85. Business Class customers make 2 flights a year on average.
Currently BA have 30% of the Business Class market. What would you forecast BA's share of the Business Class
market to be after two years? (in percent)
Transcribed Image Text:In analysing switching by Business Class customers between airlines the following data has been obtained by British Airways (BA): Next flight by ВА Competition Last flight by BA 0.85 0.15 Competition 0.10 0.90 For example if the last flight by a Business Class customer was by BA the probability that their next flight is by BA is 0.85. Business Class customers make 2 flights a year on average. Currently BA have 30% of the Business Class market. What would you forecast BA's share of the Business Class market to be after two years? (in percent)
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