Hiroshi Sato, an owner of a sushi restaurant in San Francisco, has been following an aggressive marketing campaign to thwart the effect of rising unemployment rates on business. He used monthly data on sales ($1,000s), advertising costs ($), and the unemployment rate (%) from January 2008 to May 2009 to estimate the following sample regression equation:SalesˆtSales^t  = 12.43 + 0.02Advertising Costst−1 − 0.52Unemployment Ratet−1.   a. Hiroshi had budgeted $540 toward advertising costs in May 2009. Make a forecast for Sales for June 2009 if the unemployment rate in May 2009 was 8%. (Enter your answer in dollars not in thousands.)   SalesˆtSales^t               $    b. What will be the forecast if he raises his advertisement budget to $640? (Enter your answer in dollars not in thousands.)    SalesˆtSales^t               $    c. Reevaluate the above forecasts if the unemployment rate was 8.6% in May 2009. (Enter your answers in dollars not in thousands.)

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Author:Amos Gilat
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Hiroshi Sato, an owner of a sushi restaurant in San Francisco, has been following an aggressive marketing campaign to thwart the effect of rising unemployment rates on business. He used monthly data on sales ($1,000s), advertising costs ($), and the unemployment rate (%) from January 2008 to May 2009 to estimate the following sample regression equation:

SalesˆtSales^t  = 12.43 + 0.02Advertising Costst−1 − 0.52Unemployment Ratet−1.

 

a. Hiroshi had budgeted $540 toward advertising costs in May 2009. Make a forecast for Sales for June 2009 if the unemployment rate in May 2009 was 8%. (Enter your answer in dollars not in thousands.)

 

SalesˆtSales^t               $ 

 

b. What will be the forecast if he raises his advertisement budget to $640? (Enter your answer in dollars not in thousands.)

  

SalesˆtSales^t               $ 

 

c. Reevaluate the above forecasts if the unemployment rate was 8.6% in May 2009. (Enter your answers in dollars not in thousands.)

 

 

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