) Expected value A casino is running a new game that has the following prizes and probabilities. The table show wins and losses for the casino players at the game and the respective probabilities. Table 1: Probability Distribution of Prizes X.          P(X=x) - £23      0.3 - £10.     0.4 £25.       0.2 £42.       0.1 (a) Calculate the expected value of this game. (b) Imagine that you played this game and got: -£23, -£23, £42. This means that you won on average £14.6. Why is this different from the expected value calculated in a)? Relate the concept of sample average to that of the expected value. (c) Would it be profitable for the Casino owner in the long run to offer this game? Why?

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1) Expected value
A casino is running a new game that has the following prizes and
probabilities. The table show wins and losses for the casino
players at the game and the respective probabilities.
Table 1: Probability Distribution of Prizes
X.          P(X=x)
- £23      0.3
- £10.     0.4

£25.       0.2

£42.       0.1


(a) Calculate the expected value of this game.

(b) Imagine that you played this game and got: -£23, -£23, £42.
This means that you won on average £14.6. Why is this
different from the expected value calculated in a)? Relate
the concept of sample average to that of the expected value.

(c) Would it be profitable for the Casino owner in the long run to
offer this game? Why?

(d) Calculate the variance of this game.

(e) A new manager decides to increase all outcomes (both
positive and negative) by 30%. Calculate the new expected
value and variance of the above game. Is this a wise move
for the Casino in the long run? Why?

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