Additional Algo 15-12 Forecasting with SeasonalityDemand history for the past three years is shown below, along with the seasonal indices for each quarter.YearYear 1Year 2Year 3Quarter:580338888888Demand796748493437723758Year 4, Q1 forecast538467734735501466SeasonalIndex1.2181.2310.8290.7411.2181.2310.8290.7411.2181.2310.8290.741Use exponential smoothing with alpha (a) = 0.15 and an initial forecast of 616 along with seasonality to calculate the Year 4, Q1 forecastNote: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest whole number.

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Answered: Additional Algo 15-12 Forecasting with…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...

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The owner of Leisure Boutique in a local mall is reviewing their forecasting model for errors. Month Actual Forecasted March 64 63 April 66 67 May 70 71 June 78 75 July 80 79 August 84 83 September 92 87 October 94 91 What is the cumulative forecast error? Group of answer choices a) -16 b) 16 c) 12 d) -12
4) A small manufacturing firm has recorded a time series of the cost per unit for the firm's leading product over the past eight years. Year Cost/Unit($) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 20 24.5 28.2 27.5 26.6 30 31 36 a) If you are not given a base value or trend, what would be the forecast for the year 10 made at the end of year 8 (a=0.2, ß=0.4). b) Forecast for the year 9 using 1) 5-month weighted average using 0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.3, with the heaviest weight applied to the recent month 2) Exponential smoothing using a =0.2 and forecast of 21 for year 5 3) If a value was not provided in the question above, what value of a would you choose?
snip
376.98 says its wrong
Tom Simpson, Director of the Chamber of Commerce for Exeter township is investigating the past ten years of tourist visits to the area. The following data has been gathered on number of tourists who signed into the local information center. Year Number of tourists 1 700 2 248 3 633 4 458 5 1410 6 1588 7 1629 8 1301 9 1455 10 1989 What is the forecasts for Year 11 using the simple moving method? (show in calculations in excel file)
14 Community General Hospital finds itself treating many bicycle accident victims. Data from the last seven 24-hour periods is shown below: Day Bicycle Victims 1 8 2 14 3 8 4 14 5 18 6 15 With an alpha value of 0.31 and a starting forecast in day 3 equal to the 21 , what is the exponentially smoothed forecast for day 4? (Round to two decimal places) 15 What is the exponentially smoothed forecast for day 5? (Round to two decimal places)
Below is the number of complaints received in a department store for the first six months of operation: Month Complaints January February March April May June 37 48 84 96 114 148 If a three-month moving average is used to smooth this series, what would have been the forecast for July, rounded to the nearest whole number?
The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 350 370 410 381 371 378 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = 376.67 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.20, 0.35, and 0.45, using 0.45 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.)
I The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Pints Used 345 389 412 383 366 371 a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = 373.33 pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.10, 0.35, and 0.55, using 0.55 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week of October 12 = pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.) the largest weight applies to most
The following table gives the number of pints of type A blood used at Damascus Hospital in the past 6 weeks: Week Of August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21 September 28 October 5 Week Of a) The forecasted demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average = pints (round your response to two decimal places). b) Using a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of 0.10, 0.35, and 0.55, using 0.55 for the most recent week, the forecasted demand for the week October 12 pints (round your response to two decimal places and remember to use the weights in appropriate order the largest weight applies to most recent period and smallest weight applies to oldest period.) c) If the forecasted demand for the week of August 31 is 360 and a = 0.20, using exponential smoothing, develop the forecast for each of the weeks with the known demand and the forecast for the week of October 12 (round your responses to two decimal places). August 31 September 7 September 14 September 21…
The manager of the Petroco Service Station wants to forecast the demand for unleaded gasoline next month so that the proper number of gallons can be ordered from the distributor. The owner has accumulated the following data on demand for unleaded gasoline from sales during the past 10 months. Compute an exponentially smoothed forecast with an a value of .30. According to the result from Excel and/or POM-QM, the forecast for the month of January would be (type number only, two decimals) Month October November December January February March April May June July 733.25 Gasoline Demanded (gal.) 800 725 630 500 645 690 730 810 1,200 980
Given the following historical data, what is the simple three-period moving average forecast for period 6? Period 1 2 3 4 5 67.67 68.2 67.3 68.4 Value 73 66 64 73 66

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