A venture capitalist is deciding among two investment opportunities. Opportunity A will provide him $4 million profit with 73% probability if it stays at base level i.e. same. But if it’s a wild success, he can sell the venture for a sure amount of $5 million or continue with the venture (that will surely put him on risk once again) where he can earn $1 million profit with probability “a” and win $15 million profit otherwise. On the other hand, if he choose to grab opportunity B, there is a “b” percent chance of winning $10 million profit and he can earn $2 million otherwise.  Determine the strategy region for him.   What will be the two critical points of the region where he will be indifferent among the two decision alternatives?

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ISBN:9780470458365
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A venture capitalist is deciding among two investment opportunities. Opportunity A will provide him $4 million profit with 73% probability if it stays at base level i.e. same. But if it’s a wild success, he can sell the venture for a sure amount of $5 million or continue with the venture (that will surely put him on risk once again) where he can earn $1 million profit with probability “a” and win $15 million profit otherwise. On the other hand, if he choose to grab opportunity B, there is a “b” percent chance of winning $10 million profit and he can earn $2 million otherwise.  Determine the strategy region for him.   What will be the two critical points of the region where he will be indifferent among the two decision alternatives?

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