A suburb has 2000 households. The council hired two transport consulting companies to predict the generated work trips from within the suburb after building a few residential complexes. The new buildings will increase the number of households to 2500. The following information is provided: Type Household Size Household Count Projected Household Count 1 1 500 800 2 2 800 900 3 3 700 800 Each company has conducted different travel surveys from 200 households based on different sampling methods. The work trip generation models are as follows: Company A: T₁ = -0.1 + 0.8 (household size) Company B: T₁ = 0.1 + 0.5 (household size) a. If the total number of current work trips is 2700, which model should be used for prediction? Why? b. What are the possible reasons for the difference between the two models? C. As a transport engineer working for council, propose a new and more accurate model based on Companies A and B models. d. Based on the new model in Part C, predict the number of work trips after the completion of construction.

Traffic and Highway Engineering
5th Edition
ISBN:9781305156241
Author:Garber, Nicholas J.
Publisher:Garber, Nicholas J.
Chapter12: Forecasting Travel Demand
Section: Chapter Questions
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A suburb has 2000 households. The council hired two transport consulting companies to
predict the generated work trips from within the suburb after building a few residential
complexes. The new buildings will increase the number of households to 2500. The following
information is provided:
Type
Household Size
Household Count
Projected Household Count
1
1
500
800
2
2
800
900
3
3
700
800
Each company has conducted different travel surveys from 200 households based on different
sampling methods. The work trip generation models are as follows:
Company A: T₁ = -0.1 + 0.8 (household size)
Company B: T₁ = 0.1 + 0.5 (household size)
a.
If the total number of current work trips is 2700, which model should be used for prediction?
Why?
b. What are the possible reasons for the difference between the two models?
C.
As a transport engineer working for council, propose a new and more accurate model based
on Companies A and B models.
d. Based on the new model in Part C, predict the number of work trips after the completion of
construction.
Transcribed Image Text:A suburb has 2000 households. The council hired two transport consulting companies to predict the generated work trips from within the suburb after building a few residential complexes. The new buildings will increase the number of households to 2500. The following information is provided: Type Household Size Household Count Projected Household Count 1 1 500 800 2 2 800 900 3 3 700 800 Each company has conducted different travel surveys from 200 households based on different sampling methods. The work trip generation models are as follows: Company A: T₁ = -0.1 + 0.8 (household size) Company B: T₁ = 0.1 + 0.5 (household size) a. If the total number of current work trips is 2700, which model should be used for prediction? Why? b. What are the possible reasons for the difference between the two models? C. As a transport engineer working for council, propose a new and more accurate model based on Companies A and B models. d. Based on the new model in Part C, predict the number of work trips after the completion of construction.
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