A manufacturing company is faced with the problems of choosing four products to manufacture.The potential demand for each product may turn out to be good, satisfactory, or poor. Probabilities foreach type are given below:ProductsProbabilitiesGoodSatisfactoryРoorA0.600.200.20В0.750.150.10C0.600.250.15D0.500.200.30The estimated profit/loss under different states of demand may be taken as under.uctProfit or LossGoodSatisfactoryPoorA40,00010,0001,10040,00020,000|-7,000C50,00015,000|-8,000D40,00018,00015,000Prepare expected value table and advice the company about the choice of the product.

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Answered: A manufacturing company is faced with…

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1P

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The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): State of Nature Low Demand Medium Demand High Demand Decision Alternative s1 s2 s3 Manufacture, d1 -20 40 100 Purchase, d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. What is Gorman's optimal decision strategy?Decision strategy:If F then .If U then . What is the expected value of the market research information?Expected value: $ What is the efficiency of the information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.Efficiency:
Suppose a distribution center is considering three options for expansion. The first one is to expand into a new plant, the second to add on third-shift to the daily schedule, and third, a small expansion to the existing facility. There are three possibilities for demand. These are high, medium, and low having probabilities of 40%, 33%, and 27% respectively. Suppose that the profits for the expansion plans are as follows: The new plant expected outcomes are $110,000, $50,000, -$15,000, the third shift consideration would result in outcomes of $40,000, $20,000, $-5,000 and the small expansion choice would in the following dollar amounts $15,000, $13,000, -$1,500. The amount that the company must invest in each alternative is: new plant = $48,000, third shift = $15,100, small expansion = $8,700 a. The profit/loss (EMV) for the new plant is $ [Select] b. The profit/loss (EMV) for adding a third shift is $ [Select] c. The profit/loss (EMV) for the small expansion is $ [Select] d. Which of…
ANOTHER EXAMPLE• Consider the following information on returnsand probabilities: State Probability X ZBoom .25 15% 10%Normal .60 10% 9%Recession .15 5% 10% • What are the expected return and standarddeviation for a portfolio with an investmentof $6,000 in asset X and $4,000 in asset Z?
4. A merchant stocks a certain perishable item. He knows that on any given day, he will have a demand for either 2, 3, or 4 of this items with probabilities 0.1, 0.4 and 0.5 respectively. What is the average daily demand?
A rice importer has three sources: Thailand, Vietnam, and China. Unfortunately, the annual amount of rice harvested is heavily dependent upon the amount of rainfall during the growing season. The tables below show probabilities and prices for wet, dry, and normal growing seasons. Rice is sold in tons. PROBABILITIES Wet Dry Normal Thailand 0.5 0.2 0.3 Vietnam 0.6 0.3 0.1 China 0.4 0.4 0.2 Price per Pound ($) Wet Dry Normal Thailand 0.95 1.10 1.00 Vietnam 0.85 1.20 0.98 China 0.90 1.15 1.05 Which country offers the best rice price?
A consultant has been hired to redesign a company's production facility. The consultant estimates the probabilities of her potential profit as shown in the table below. What is her profit expectation? Profit/Loss Probability $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $5,000 0.08 0.30 0.38 0.20 0.04
The proprietor of Midland Construction Company has to decide between two projects. He estimates that the first project will yield a profit of $160,000 with a probability of 0.7 or a profit of $120,000 with a probability of 0.3; the second project will yield a profit of $220,000 with a probability of 0.6 or a profit of $70,000 with a probability of 0.4.Find the expected profit for each project. first project $ second project $ Which project should the proprietor choose if he wants to maximize his expected profit? first project second project
The accidents that occur in a manufacturing company were classified by severity (strong, moderate and mild) and by sex with the following characteristics: 40% of the accidents were strong and 30% were moderate. Women suffered 20% of the accidents. Of the total number of serious accidents, men suffered 85.5% of the accidents. Similarly, of the total moderate accidents, women suffered 45% of the accidents. Calculate the following probabilities:- If a woman suffered an accident, what is the probability that it was minor?- If a man suffered an accident, what is the probability that he is strong?

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