A rice importer has three sources: Thailand, Vietnam, and China. Unfortunately, the annual amount of rice harvested is heavily dependent upon the amount of rainfall during the growing season. The tables below show probabilities and prices for wet, dry, and normal growing seasons. Rice is sold in tons. PROBABILITIES Wet Dry Normal Thailand 0.5 0.2 0.3 Vietnam 0.6 0.3 0.1 China 0.4 0.4 0.2 Price per Pound ($) Wet Dry Normal Thailand 0.95 1.10 1.00 Vietnam 0.85 1.20 0.98 China 0.90 1.15 1.05 Which country offers the best rice price?
Continuous Probability Distributions
Probability distributions are of two types, which are continuous probability distributions and discrete probability distributions. A continuous probability distribution contains an infinite number of values. For example, if time is infinite: you could count from 0 to a trillion seconds, billion seconds, so on indefinitely. A discrete probability distribution consists of only a countable set of possible values.
Normal Distribution
Suppose we had to design a bathroom weighing scale, how would we decide what should be the range of the weighing machine? Would we take the highest recorded human weight in history and use that as the upper limit for our weighing scale? This may not be a great idea as the sensitivity of the scale would get reduced if the range is too large. At the same time, if we keep the upper limit too low, it may not be usable for a large percentage of the population!
A rice importer has three sources: Thailand, Vietnam, and China. Unfortunately, the annual amount of rice harvested is heavily dependent upon the amount of rainfall during the growing season. The tables below show probabilities and prices for wet, dry, and normal growing seasons.
Rice is sold in tons.
|
|
PROBABILITIES |
||
|
Wet |
Dry |
Normal |
|
|
Thailand |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
Vietnam |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
China |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
Price per Pound ($) |
||
|
Wet |
Dry |
Normal |
|
|
Thailand |
0.95 |
1.10 |
1.00 |
|
Vietnam |
0.85 |
1.20 |
0.98 |
|
China |
0.90 |
1.15 |
1.05 |
Which country offers the best rice price?
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