A large steel manufacturing company has three options with regard to production: Produce commercially Build pilot plant Stop producing steel The management has estimated that their pilot plant, if built has 0.8 chance of high yield and 0.2 chance of low yield. If the pilot plant does show a high yield, management assigns a probability of 0.75 that the commercial plant will also have a high yield. If the pilot plant shows a low yield, there is only a 0.1 chance that the commercial plant will show a high yield. Finally, management’s best assessment of the yield on a commercial size plant without building a pilot plant first has 0.6 chance of high yield. A pilot plant will cost K300,000. The profits earned under high and low yield conditions are K12,000,000 and K1,200,000 respectively. Draw up an appropriate decision tree for the steel manufacturing company What is the company’s best strategy under EMV approach
A large steel manufacturing company has three options with regard to production: Produce commercially Build pilot plant Stop producing steel The management has estimated that their pilot plant, if built has 0.8 chance of high yield and 0.2 chance of low yield. If the pilot plant does show a high yield, management assigns a probability of 0.75 that the commercial plant will also have a high yield. If the pilot plant shows a low yield, there is only a 0.1 chance that the commercial plant will show a high yield. Finally, management’s best assessment of the yield on a commercial size plant without building a pilot plant first has 0.6 chance of high yield. A pilot plant will cost K300,000. The profits earned under high and low yield conditions are K12,000,000 and K1,200,000 respectively. Draw up an appropriate decision tree for the steel manufacturing company What is the company’s best strategy under EMV approach
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
Related questions
Question
A large steel manufacturing company has three options with regard to production:
- Produce commercially
- Build pilot plant
- Stop producing steel
The management has estimated that their pilot plant, if built has 0.8 chance of high yield and 0.2 chance of low yield. If the pilot plant does show a high yield, management assigns a probability of 0.75 that the commercial plant will also have a high yield. If the pilot plant shows a low yield, there is only a 0.1 chance that the commercial plant will show a high yield. Finally, management’s best assessment of the yield on a commercial size plant without building a pilot plant first has 0.6 chance of high yield. A pilot plant will cost K300,000. The profits earned under high and low yield conditions are K12,000,000 and K1,200,000 respectively.
- Draw up an appropriate decision tree for the steel manufacturing company
- What is the company’s best strategy under EMV approach
Expert Solution
This question has been solved!
Explore an expertly crafted, step-by-step solution for a thorough understanding of key concepts.
Step by step
Solved in 3 steps with 1 images
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259667473
Author:
William J Stevenson
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781259666100
Author:
F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781285869681
Author:
Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi…
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781478623069
Author:
Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher:
Waveland Press, Inc.