59. The results of an investigation by an expert on a fire accident are summarised below: (i) Probability (there could have been a short circuit) = 0.8. (ii) Probability (LPG explosion cylinder) = 0.2. (iii) Chance of fire accident is 30% given a short circuit and 95% given an LPG explosion. Based on these, what do you think is the most probable cause of fire?

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59. The results of an investigation by an expert on a fire accident are summarised
below:
(i) Probability (there could have been a short circuit) = 0.8.
(ii) Probability (LPG explosion cylinder) = 0.2.
(iii) Chance of fire accident is 30% given a short circuit and 95% given an LPG explosion.
Based on these, what do you think is the most probable cause of fire?
Bast.
Transcribed Image Text:59. The results of an investigation by an expert on a fire accident are summarised below: (i) Probability (there could have been a short circuit) = 0.8. (ii) Probability (LPG explosion cylinder) = 0.2. (iii) Chance of fire accident is 30% given a short circuit and 95% given an LPG explosion. Based on these, what do you think is the most probable cause of fire? Bast.
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