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Nicole Liggiero IDS 400 December 10, 2023 Final Project The U.S. Energy Mix
1950-1990 Energy Mix To produce electricity, the US employs a wide range of energy sources and technological advancements. Over time, the sources and technologies have evolved, with certain ones becoming more prevalent than others ( Electricity in the U.S. (EIA) , 2023). Although it is undeniable that fossil fuels have dominated the American energy mix for more than a century, the balance has undergone certain changes throughout time. In particular, the industrial, transportation, residential, and commercial sectors have historically used coal extensively. Although coal consumption has more than doubled since 1950, the U.S. economy no longer uses coal in the same way and for the same purposes. Less than 20% of coal was used for electricity generation in 1950, while 90% of the more than one billion tons used in 2011 went toward this purpose (Kille, 2020). About 20% of the energy needed in the United States is currently supplied by natural gas, up from 17% in 1950 but down from 30% in 1970 (Kille, 2020). Gas-fired power plants produced 16% of all electricity by 2000 and 25% by 2011 (Kille, 2020). Almost continuously since 1970, hydropower produced 257 billion kilowatt hours of electricity in 2010. Nevertheless, it continues to be the most significant renewable energy source, accounting for almost two-thirds of the industry's output (Kille, 2020). In the US, wind power is the electricity generation source with the fastest rate of growth. In a ratio of one to 48, natural gas added 132 gigawatts of capacity while wind added 2.7 between 1999 and 2002 (Kille, 2020). In contrast to wind, which contributed 33.2 gigawatts (a 1,130% increase) between 2003 and 2010, natural gas added only 93.6 gigawatts (a 29% decrease over the previous period's additions), for a ratio of 1 to 2.8 (Kille, 2020). About 10.2% of all utility-scale electricity generated in the United States in 2022 came from wind energy,
which also accounted for 47.6% of all electricity generated from renewable sources ( Electricity in the U.S. (EIA) , 2023). Wind energy is transformed into electricity by wind turbines. In 2022, solar energy generated 15.9% of the utility-scale electricity generated from renewable sources and contributed around 3.4% of the total utility-scale electricity generated in the United States ( Electricity in the U.S. (EIA) , 2023). The two primary solar energy generation technologies are photovoltaic (PV) and solar-thermal. PV conversion uses a photovoltaic cell to directly generate power from sunshine. Steam turbines are used in the majority of solar-thermal power plants to produce electricity. About 0.06 trillion kWh of power was produced using small- scale solar photovoltaic systems ( Electricity in the U.S. (EIA) , 2023). 2010 to Present The total energy consumed in the United States in 2010 was almost 98 quads. This represents a significant rise over its 1950–1990 values. It is, therefore, just lower than the 2007 peak energy consumption of roughly 101.4 quads ( U.S. Energy Facts Explained - Consumption And Production (EIA) , 2023). Significant changes have been made to both renewable (solar, wind, and hydropower) and non-renewable (coal, petroleum, and natural gas) resources since 2010. More specifically, the amount of coal consumed annually has decreased as a result of a fall in the demand for coal and an increase in the proportion of coal with lower heat content used by the electric power industry ( U.S. Energy Facts Explained - Consumption And Production (EIA) , 2023). The EIA research estimates that coal use in 2021 was 10.55 quads or almost 11% of the country's total energy consumption. The COVID-19 pandemic was a major factor in the decline in petroleum consumption in 2020 and 2021 when considering oil's place in the present American energy mix. With a total of 31.3 quads, natural gas is still widely employed in the
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production of power as well as in the commercial, industrial, and residential sectors ( U.S. Energy Facts Explained - Consumption And Production (EIA) , 2023). Accordingly, in 2021, the United States' overall energy consumption was made up of approximately 32% natural gas use ( U.S. Energy Facts Explained - Consumption And Production (EIA) , 2023). Issues The main effect of the American energy system on the environment is air pollution caused by the burning of fossil fuels. Carbon dioxide (CO2), sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter, volatile organic compounds, and mercury are examples of these emissions. An estimated 13 million metric tons (Mt) of methane leakage occur annually from the oil and natural gas supply chain (fracking wells, pipelines); this amounts to 2.3% of the gross domestic gas output in the United States ( U.S. Energy System Factsheet , n.d.). This methane leak has a nearly 30-degree global warming potential, which translates to 387 Mt of CO2e or 6.1% of all CO2 emissions in the United States in 2021 ( U.S. Energy System Factsheet , n.d.). In 2021, the United States' greenhouse gas emissions decreased by 2.1% from 1990 levels. Fuel combustion accounted for 73% of all greenhouse gas emissions in the United States in 2021. The environment is also impacted by other energy sources ( U.S. Energy System Factsheet , n.d.). For instance, the construction of large hydroelectric power plants results in habitat degradation and fish kills; wind turbines alter landscapes in ways that some find unappealing and can increase bird and bat mortality; nuclear power generation is associated with issues such as radioactive waste and a high energy requirement to build the plants and mine uranium ( U.S. Energy System Factsheet , n.d.). Since the main source of carbon dioxide emissions in the United States is fossil fuels, employing renewable energy can help cut down on the amount of fossil fuel consumed. Renewable energy has the potential to significantly impact greenhouse gas emissions reduction,
energy security, and availability in the United States if further investments are made and it keeps growing. There will be consequences for plants, animals, and ecosystems if we do not pursue clean energy. 2050 Energy Mix According to the Annual Energy Outlook 2023, the United States will see a rise in energy consumption of all kinds between 0% and 15% between 2022 and 2050. The consequences of population expansion, economic growth, and greater travel are projected to offset ongoing advancements in energy efficiency, leading to an increase in the country's energy consumption. In percentage terms, the energy consumption in the transportation and industrial sectors is most susceptible to variations in the underlying assumptions between scenarios ( U.S. Energy Consumption Increases Between 0% And 15% by 2050 , 2023). According to DOE projections, fossil fuels will provide 66% of the country's energy in 2050, which is in line with IPCC carbon reduction targets. The estimated annual growth rate of renewable energy consumption is expected to be 3.1% between 2022 and 2050, whereas the growth rate of overall energy use is expected to be 0.2% ( EIA Projects Renewables Share of U.S. Electricity Generation Mix Will Double by 2050 , n.d.). From 2020 to 2050, natural gas will continue to make up around one-third of all electricity generated in the United States. Even though natural gas prices will stay low for most of the projection period, the fraction of natural gas used in generation will remain consistent. This stability persists despite substantial retirements of coal and nuclear power plants brought on by market competition since market and regulatory forces encourage the production of additional renewable energy ( EIA Projects Renewables Share of U.S. Electricity Generation Mix Will Double by 2050 , n.d.).
Justify The Mix It can be very advantageous for the United States to produce the majority of its energy using nuclear power and renewable sources. Systems that combine nuclear power with renewable energy can reduce costs, enhance resource stability, produce enough energy to fulfill demand and boost the energy security and independence of the United States. Although burning natural gas produces fewer emissions than burning coal or oil, natural gas still contributes roughly 33% of all methane emissions in the United States and 4% of all greenhouse gas emissions ( Natural Gas and the Environment (EIA) , 2023). When energy is produced and harvested, renewables produce no emissions, which makes them a more sustainable energy choice than fossil fuels. Carbon emissions are produced during the construction of clean energy components for renewable energy sources, however, these emissions are quickly offset by the plants' emissions-free operation ( Natural Gas and the Environment (EIA) , 2023) The main issues with renewable energy are the huge acreage requirements for these kinds of plants and the sporadic nature of the energy supply. One clean energy source with almost no emissions is nuclear power. Although investing entirely in nuclear energy is unreasonable due to rising costs, outdated reactors, and worries about radioactive waste, nuclear energy is still far more efficient than any other energy source ( U.S. Nuclear Industry (EIA) , 2023). The majority of American power facilities are elderly and may be shut down in the upcoming years, which is a significant disadvantage. It will cost money and time to build new factories. Therefore, producing 10% more nuclear energy by 2050 than it does now is a reasonable goal. Nuclear energy is significantly more expensive than renewable energy, which can help keep expenses in check ( U.S. Nuclear Industry (EIA) , 2023). To produce
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diverse energy products that meet the demands of different sectors, nuclear hybrid systems connect a nuclear reactor with a thermal power cycle, at least one renewable energy source, and an industrial process that employs thermal and/or electrical energy. These more adaptable, smaller hybrid power plants produce steady, clean electricity. Pathway US nuclear reactors are typically around 40 years old (EIA, 2022). The life of nuclear reactors might be extended, which would improve our energy mix and provide us with more time to build new, technologically advanced plants and renewable energy sources. It is important to continue developing new nuclear fission technologies that produce lithium from ocean water to boost resource independence and expand the availability of resources. Additionally, nuclear hybrid power plants should be constructed on stable land. The majority of the energy mix adjustments must be driven by the people and made at the federal level. A government wind and solar requirement of 30% electricity generation by 2030 is already being pushed. Raising these demands and guidelines will contribute to achieving the target of 40% renewable energy by 2050. Federal policy has already been impacted in certain cases, and certain states are already creating legislation based on the benefits of nuclear power. For instance, production tax credits were extended through 2021 for up to 6000 MW of new nuclear development by the Federal Energy Policy Act of 2005 (Davis L.W. 2012). Introducing tax credits and encouraging businesses to make energy-related investments. Even though research has advanced significantly, the United States will need to use renewable energy sources to lower prices and promote energy independence. There are several ways to accomplish this, one of which is by using nuclear hybrid systems, which combine a nuclear reactor with at least one renewable energy source. These systems provide a variety of energy products that satisfy the
needs of all sectors using thermal and/or electrical energy. These reduced hybrid power plants offer cleaner, more consistent electricity and are more adaptable (Ayo-Imoru et al.,2022). The majority of the energy mix adjustments will need to come from the federal level and be driven by popular will. Federal policy has already been impacted in certain cases, and certain states are already creating laws based on the benefits of nuclear energy production. The United States should tackle the issue of eliminating fossil fuels and boosting the production of nuclear and renewable energy. The United States may achieve greater energy independence and substantial pollution reductions by doing this. Since nuclear energy produces the most energy with the fewest emissions and most of its problems are easily resolved, we should keep going after it. Because they are more affordable and have abundant resources for many years to come, renewables are also an excellent option. It is more acceptable to combine nuclear energy with renewable energy sources like wind, solar, and hydropower to meet energy demands, including export requests that spur economic advancements.
References Ayo-Imoru, R. M., Ali, A. A., & Bokoro, P. N. (2022). Analysis of a Hybrid Nuclear Renewable Energy Resource in a Distributed Energy System for a Rural Area in Nigeria. Energies (19961073),15(20), 7496- N.PAG. https://doi-org.ezproxy.snhu.edu/10.3390/en15207496 Davis, L. W. (2012). Prospects for Nuclear Power. The Journal of Economic Perspectives , 26 (1), 49–66. http://www.jstor.org/stable/41348806 EIA projects renewables share of U.S. electricity generation mix will double by 2050 . (2021). https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=46676 Natural gas and the environment - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) . (n.d.). https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/natural-gas-and-the-environment.php U.S. energy consumption increases between 0% and 15% by 2050 . (2023). https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=56040 U.S. nuclear industry (EIA) . (2023). https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/nuclear/us- nuclear-industry.php Electricity in the U.S. - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) . (February 2023). https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/electricity/electricity-in-the-us.php Kille, L. W. (2020, December 17). Energy in the United States: Overview and key statistics - The Journalist's Resource . The Journalist’s Resource.
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https://journalistsresource.org/environment/u-s-energy-overview-key-statistics-2012/ #:~:text=Residential%20consumption%20increased%20from%2039.3,of%20all%20U.S. %20energy%20consumption . U.S. energy facts explained - consumption and production - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) . (n.d.). https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/us-energy-facts/ U.S. energy System Factsheet . (n.d.). Center for Sustainable Systems. https://css.umich.edu/publications/factsheets/energy/us-energy-system- factsheet#:~:text=Life%20Cycle%20Impacts,%2C%20particulate%20matter%2C %20and%20mercury.