Operations Management
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780132921145
Author: Jay Heizer
Publisher: PEARSON
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Question
Chapter A, Problem 7P
a.
Summary Introduction
To determine: The highest possible expected monetary value.
Introduction:
EMV: Expected monetary value (EMV) is the expected value or payout that has different possible state of nature, each with their associated possibilities.
b.
Summary Introduction
To determine: Expected value with perfect information
Introduction
Expected value with perfect information is average expected return which we have perfect information about their state of nature before decision has to be taken
It is average worth of information which we have, basically expected value if the perfect information is available before decision made
c.
Summary Introduction
To determine: The expected value of perfect information
Introduction: The maximum value willing to pay in order to gain for information. In EVPI we determine the amount which is willing to pay for the perfect information is said to be EVPI.
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Students have asked these similar questions
The following payoff table provides profits based on various possible decision alternatives adn various levels of demand at Robert Klassan's print shop:
decision low high
alt 1 $10,000 $36,000
alt 2 $6,000 $38,000
alt 3 -$2500 $52,000
The probability of low demand is 0.40 whereas the probability of high demand is 0.60.
a) The alternative that provides Robert the greatest expected monetary value is _________
The EMV for this decision is $_______
b) The expected value with perfect information (EVwPI)= $______
c) The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for Robert= $________
Payoff Table
Decision Alternatives
Demand
Low
Medium
High
Small, d1
400
500
600
Medium, d2
100
600
800
Large, d3
-300
400
1200
1). If nothing is known about the demand probabilities, what are the recommended decision using the Maximax
(optimistic), Maximin (pessimistic) and Equally Likely?
2). If P(low) = 0.20, P(medium) = 0.35, and P(high) = 0.45. What is the recommended decision using the expected monetary value approach?
3). What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
Mickey Lawson is considering investing some money that he inherited.
The following payoff table gives the profit that would be realized during the next year for each of three investments alternatives Mickey is considering:
State of Nature
Decision alternatives Good Economy Poor Economy
Stock market 80,000 -20,000
Bonds 30,000 20,000
CDs 23,000 23,000
Probability 0.5 0.5
Compute decision would maximize expected profits.
Compute the maximum amount that should be paid for a perfect forecast of the economy.
Chapter A Solutions
Operations Management
Ch. A - Prob. 1DQCh. A - Prob. 2DQCh. A - Prob. 3DQCh. A - Prob. 4DQCh. A - Prob. 5DQCh. A - Question: 6. Explain how decision trees might be...Ch. A - Prob. 7DQCh. A - Prob. 8DQCh. A - Question 9. Identify the five steps in analyzing a...Ch. A - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. A - Question 11. The expected value criterion is...Ch. A - Question 12. When are decision trees most useful?Ch. A - Given the following conditional value table,...Ch. A - Prob. 2PCh. A - Prob. 3PCh. A - Jeffrey Helm owns a health and fitness center...Ch. A - Prob. 5PCh. A - Prob. 6PCh. A - Prob. 7PCh. A - Prob. 8PCh. A - Prob. 9PCh. A - Prob. 10PCh. A - The University of Miami bookstore stocks textbooks...Ch. A - Palmer Jam Company is a small manufacturer of...Ch. A - Prob. 13PCh. A - Prob. 14PCh. A - Prob. 15PCh. A - Prob. 16PCh. A - Prob. 17PCh. A - Prob. 18PCh. A - Prob. 19PCh. A - Philip Musa can build either a large video rental...Ch. A - Prob. 21PCh. A - Prob. 22PCh. A - Prob. 23PCh. A - Question A.24 On the opening page of Module A and...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...
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