Concept explainers
Fudge factors An oil company executive is considering investing $10 million in one or both of two wells: Well 1 is expected to produce oil worth $3 million a year for 10 years; well 2 is expected to produce $2 million for 15 years. These are real (inflation-adjusted) cash flows.
The beta for producing wells is .9. The market risk premium is 8%, the nominal risk-free interest rate is 6%, and expected inflation is 4%.
The two wells are intended to develop a previously discovered oil field. Unfortunately there is still a 20% chance of a dry hole in each case. A dry hole means zero cash flows and a complete loss of the $10 million investment.
Ignore taxes and make further assumptions as necessary.
- a. What is the correct real discount rate for cash flows from developed wells?
- b. The oil company executive proposes to add 20 percentage points to the real discount rate to offset the risk of a dry hole. Calculate the
NPV of each well with this adjusted discount rate. - c. What do you say the NPYs of the two wells are?
- d. Is there any single fudge factor that could be added to the discount rate for developed wells that would yield the correct NPY for both wells? Explain.
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solutionChapter 9 Solutions
Principles of Corporate Finance (Mcgraw-hill/Irwin Series in Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate)
- You are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 – 100 1 - 10 + 19 On the basis of the behavior of the firm’s stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.30. Assume that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 5% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15%. a. What is the project IRR? b. What is the cost of capital for the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 – 100 1-10 + 16 On the basis of the behavior of the firm’s stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.50. Assuming that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 5% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 13%, what is the net present value of the project? (Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions of dollars rounded to 2 decimal places.) Net present value =arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 100 1-10 + 20 On the basis of the behavior of the firm's stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.47. Assuming that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 5% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15%, what is the net present value of the project? (Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions of dollars rounded to 2 decimal places.) Net present value millionarrow_forward
- You are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 – 100 1 - 10 + 15 On the basis of the behavior of the firm’s stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.42. Assume that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 6% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 14%. a. What is the project IRR? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.) IRR: ____% b. What is the cost of capital for the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.) Cost of Capital_____%arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The annual cash flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are: Annual Cash Flow -91 Years 1 - 10 19 Based on the behaviour of the firm's stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.4. Assuming that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 4% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 10%, what is the net present value of the project? (Enter your answers In millons. Round your answer to 2 decimal places. Use minus sign to enter negative answers, If any.) NPV millionarrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 – 100 1 - 10 + 14 On the basis of the behavior of the firm’s stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.35. Assume that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 4% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 13%. a. What is the project IRR? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.) b. What is the cost of capital for the project? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places.)arrow_forward
- You are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 – 100 1-10 + 17 On the basis of the behavior of the firm’s stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.44. Assuming that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 5% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 11%, what is the net present value of the project?arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow 0 1-10 -100 +15 On the basis of the behavior of the firm's stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.4. Assume that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 4% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 12%. a. What is the project IRR? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places. b. What is the cost of capital for the project? Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer as a percent rounded to 2 decimal places. c. Does the accept-reject decision using IRR agree with the decision using NPV? a. IRR b. Cost of capital c. Does the accept-reject decision using IRR agree with the decision using NPV? Yes %arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years Cash Flow -10 1-5 +4 On the basis of the behavior of the firm's stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.2. Assume that the project has the same risk as the firm overall. Given that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 4% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15%, would you accept or reject the project? Аcсept Rejectarrow_forward
- Suppose you are the financial manager of a company, and there are three potential projects for investment. The risk free rate is 2%. The market risk premium is 6%. The beta of the company is 0.6. You need to invest $100 today for Project A, and project A is expected to provide a cash flow of $6 a share forever. The beta for this project is 0.75. You need to invest $105 today for Project B, and project B is expected pay $3.5 next year. Thereafter, payment growth is expected to be 3% a year forever. The beta for this project is 0.7. You need to invest $175 today for project C, and project C is expected to pay $1.25, $3.80, and $3.00 over the next three years, respectively. Starting in year 4 and thereafter, dividend growth is expected to be 3.5% a year forever. The beta for this project is 0.5. (a1) What's the expected return of the market portfolio? And what's the beta for this market portfolio? (a2) What is the discount rate for each project?(a3) which project(s) will you invest? And…arrow_forward(Capital Asset Pricing Model) Johnson Manufacturing, Inc., is considering several investments. The rate on Treasury bills is currently 7.5 percent, and the expected return for the market is 10.5 percent. What should be the expected rate of return for each investment (using the CAPM)? Security A B C D Beta 1.62 1.02 0.71 1.34 a. The expected rate of return for security A, which has a beta of 1.62, is%. (Round to two decimal places.)arrow_forwardYou are a consultant to a firm evaluating an expansion of its current business. The cash-flow forecasts (in millions of dollars) for the project are as follows: Years 0 1-10 Cash Flow -100 +16 On the basis of the behavior of the firm's stock, you believe that the beta of the firm is 1.33. Assuming that the rate of return available on risk-free investments is 6% and that the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is 15%, what is the net present value of the project? Note: Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in millions of dollars rounded to 2 decimal places.arrow_forward
- Intermediate Financial Management (MindTap Course...FinanceISBN:9781337395083Author:Eugene F. Brigham, Phillip R. DavesPublisher:Cengage LearningEBK CONTEMPORARY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENTFinanceISBN:9781337514835Author:MOYERPublisher:CENGAGE LEARNING - CONSIGNMENTManagerial AccountingAccountingISBN:9781337912020Author:Carl Warren, Ph.d. Cma William B. TaylerPublisher:South-Western College Pub
- Financial And Managerial AccountingAccountingISBN:9781337902663Author:WARREN, Carl S.Publisher:Cengage Learning,Principles of Accounting Volume 2AccountingISBN:9781947172609Author:OpenStaxPublisher:OpenStax College