Mouse in a Maze A mouse is placed in one of the compartments of the maze shown in Fig. 7. After each minute of looking unsuccessfully for food, the mouse exits through one of the doors at random and moves to an adjacent compartment. The Exit door is one way; that is, the mouse cannot return after it has exited the maze.
Figure 7
a. Draw the transition diagram for the Markov process.
b. Set up an absorbing stochastic matrix for the Markov process.
c. Find the stable matrix.
d. If the mouse begins in compartment A, what is the expected amount of time that it spends in the maze?
Note:
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EBK FINITE MATHEMATICS & ITS APPLICATIO
- Module Code: MATH380202 3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2. Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof) conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible. Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q) process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the AR and MA orders of this representation. (b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto- correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of this question.) Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa- rameters of your model. X₁ = 15.51, s² = 317.43. k 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pk 0.981 0.974 0.968 akk 0.981 0.327 8 9 0.927 0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935 0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012 Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48. k 1…arrow_forwardLet G be a graph with n ≥ 2 vertices x1, x2, . . . , xn, and let A be the adjacency matrixof G. Prove that if G is connected, then every entry in the matrix A^n−1 + A^nis positive.arrow_forwardModule Code: MATH380202 1. (a) Define the terms "strongly stationary" and "weakly stationary". Let {X} be a stochastic process defined for all t € Z. Assuming that {X+} is weakly stationary, define the autocorrelation function (acf) Pk, for lag k. What conditions must a process {X+) satisfy for it to be white noise? (b) Let N(0, 1) for t€ Z, with the {+} being mutually independent. Which of the following processes {X+} are weakly stationary for t> 0? Briefly justify your answers. i. Xt for all > 0. ii. Xo~N(0,) and X₁ = 2X+-1+ &t for t > 0. (c) Provide an expression for estimating the autocovariance function for a sample X1,..., X believed to be from a weakly stationary process. How is the autocor- relation function Pk then estimated, and a correlogram (or acf plot) constructed? (d) Consider the weakly stationary stochastic process ✗+ = + + +-1+ +-2 where {E} is a white noise process with variance 1. Compute the population autocorre- lation function Pk for all k = 0, 1, ....arrow_forward
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